What is Brainy Brands Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Brainy Brands Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Brainy Brands Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Farm Products subindustry, Brainy Brands Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Brainy Brands Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Brainy Brands Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Brainy Brands Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Brainy Brands Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Brainy Brands Co (Brainy Brands Co) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Brainy Brands Company Inc. was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware on November 21, 2007 and began activity in 2008.Previously, it was known as Enter Corp. The proposed business plan of the Company is to use innovative agricultural technology and know-how to grow vegetables and other crops, initially in the former Soviet Republic of Georgia, and later in other selected locations. The Company is in the development stage and has yet to realize revenues from operations. It intends to locate a local, joint venture partner to co-invest with them in its pilot project on a 30-hectare plot of land. If it does not locate a local, joint venture partner but do raise funds, it will execute the Pilot Project on its own. It initially intended to conduct a pilot project at a suitable location, which it has found in the town of Natakhtari in Georgia. Its President, Mr. Ayalon, has the experience of setting up farming operations in foreign countries and is capable of hiring local staff and managing them for its farming operations. Since the growing season starts in March in most regions of Georgia, it has missed the 2010 growing season. Hence, 2010 will be dedicated to building its infrastructure and locating the financing it require for its Pilot Project. It intends to advertise in local newspapers in Georgia in order to attract a possible local, joint venture partner. It intends to begin its Pilot Project operation in March 2011. It intends to bring Western know-how and precision farming techniques to its Georgian operations. Precision farming is based on proper soil analysis, proper seed choice, and the use of precise amounts of fertilizer, herbicides and pesticides. The use of drip irrigation plays an important role in precision farming by enabling the delivery of exact amounts of water and fertilizer. Additionally, the proper timing of planting, harvesting, fertilizer and pest control are all part of what is known as "precision farming techniques". Precision farming helps improve crop yields, because it is a scientific method that treats each crop individually. The Pilot Project's main focus is to prove its ability to produce vegetables for the local market. It hopes to locate a distributor that will supply its produce to local retailers and local wholesalers who will purchase its produce.
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