The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 2.42 (As of Sep. 17, 2026) — 62% Above Median

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MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
57 GF Score
Price MXN504.63
GF Value MXN312.92
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

The GEO Group MEX:GEO1 57 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.42 as of Sep. 17, 2026, which is 62% above its 10-year median of 1.49. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN312.92 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 688 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks worse than 74.13% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-17), The GEO Group's current share price is MXN504.63. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN208.56. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 2.42.

The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:GEO1' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.51   Med: 1.49   Max: 3.41
Current: 2.88

During the past years, The GEO Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 3.41. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 1.49.

MEX:GEO1's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
74.13% of 688 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs MEX:GEO1: 2.88

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The GEO Group's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN200.077. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is MXN208.56 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The GEO Group  (MEX:GEO1) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.89 1.12 0.92 2.93 1.50

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.25 1.96 1.53 1.49 2.37

MEX:GEO1 vs BRC, BCO, CXW: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


MEX:GEO1
57GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=504.63/208.559
=2.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, The GEO Group's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=200.077/333.9520*333.9520
=200.077

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

The GEO Group Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 166.283 241.428 230.009
201612 178.463 241.432 246.852
201703 126.546 243.801 173.339
201706 179.091 244.955 244.158
201709 177.812 246.819 240.584
201712 189.160 246.524 256.244
201803 170.345 249.554 227.955
201806 176.553 251.989 233.979
201809 166.025 252.439 219.635
201812 169.836 251.233 225.755
201903 164.369 254.202 215.936
201906 161.909 256.143 211.092
201909 164.016 256.759 213.326
201912 155.160 256.974 201.639
202003 185.040 258.115 239.407
202006 179.779 257.797 232.887
202009 169.614 260.280 217.623
202012 149.802 260.474 192.060
202103 157.285 264.877 198.302
202106 160.227 271.696 196.941
202109 170.728 274.310 207.849
202112 162.925 278.802 195.153
202203 164.159 287.504 190.680
202206 174.067 296.311 196.179
202209 180.008 296.808 202.535
202212 183.011 296.797 205.922
202303 171.887 301.836 190.176
202306 167.644 305.109 183.492
202309 173.487 307.789 188.234
202312 173.299 306.746 188.669
202403 172.005 312.332 183.911
202406 167.790 314.175 178.352
202409 184.421 315.301 195.330
202412 197.782 315.605 209.280
202503 194.367 319.799 202.969
202506 184.768 322.561 191.293
202509 200.186 324.800 205.827
202512 198.495 324.054 204.558
202603 201.849 330.213 204.135
202606 200.077 333.952 200.077

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.42 mean?
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.42 as of Sep. 17, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. This is 62% above median its historical median of 1.49. Over the past decade, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.51 to 3.41. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #510 out of 688 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 74.1%.
Is The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.42 is 62% above median its 10-year median of 1.49. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 3.41. The Business Services industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.53. The GEO Group's value of 2.42 is 58.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #510 out of 688 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to BRC and BCO?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #510 out of 688 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places The GEO Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.53. The GEO Group's value of 2.42 is 58.2% above this benchmark. Historically, The GEO Group's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.51 to 3.41 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.49 vs. the industry median of 1.53, The GEO Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Business Services company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Business Services companies is 1.53, based on 688 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.42 is 58.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.42, which is 62% above median its own 10-year median of 1.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN312.92, compared to a current price of MXN504.63 — trading 61.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.42, which is 62% above median its 10-year median of 1.49 and 58.2% above the Business Services industry median of 1.53. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.42 as of Sep. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN504.63 is trading 61.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN312.92. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 2.42 (62% above median its 10-year median of 1.49)
  • GF Value™: MXN312.92 vs. price of MXN504.63 (61.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 58.2% above the Business Services median (#510 of 688)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GEO1

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN504.63
Price
MXN312.92
GF Value