The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Moat Score: 6/10 (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
60 GF Score
Price MXN510.00
GF Value MXN284.00
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is The GEO Group Moat Score?

The GEO Group MEX:GEO1 60 Moat Score is 6 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN284.00 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,092 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks better than 98.44% on this metric.

The GEO Group has the Moat Score of 6, which implies that the company might have Narrow Moat - Strong narrow moat, clearly distinguishable but not wide.

The GEO Group has Narrow Moat: The GEO Group Inc benefits from significant regulatory barriers and exclusive contracts in the private prison industry. The company has a strong distribution network and moderate pricing power, resulting in a strong narrow moat.

Moat Score is a ranking system developed by GuruFocus to assess a company's ability to sustain a competitive advantage, rated on a scale from 0 to 10. It takes into account key factors such as market leadership, cost advantages, network effects, customer switching costs, and more.

The company's Moat Score is based on these criteria:

1. Market leadership and sustainable market share
2. Network effects and significant customer switching costs
3. Valuable intellectual property and patents
4. Strong brand strength and deep customer loyalty
5. Durable cost advantages (e.g., economies of scale, proprietary technology)
6. Significant regulatory barriers and exclusive licenses
7. Superior distribution network
8. Strong and sustainable pricing power
9. Consistent and impactful innovation and R&D capabilities

Based on the research, GuruFocus believes The GEO Group might have Narrow Moat - Strong narrow moat, clearly distinguishable but not wide.

The GEO Group  (MEX:GEO1) Moat Score Explanation

The Moat Score ranges from 0 to 10, with 10 as the highest. GuruFocus divided Moat Score into following 8 categories:

Moat Score Moat Level
10Wide Moat - Exceptionally dominant and durable wide moat
8 - 9Wide Moat - Clear and robust wide moat
7Wide Moat - Entry-level wide moat, clearly possessing durable advantages
6Narrow Moat - Strong narrow moat, clearly distinguishable but not wide
5Narrow Moat - Solid narrow moat
4Narrow Moat - Discernible but modest moat
1 - 3No Moat - Very weak/transient advantages
0No Moat - No discernible moat

The GEO Group Moat Score Related Terms

MEX:GEO1 vs BCO, BRC, ADT: Moat Score Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Moat Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Moat Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The GEO Group Moat Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Moat Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Moat Score falls into.


MEX:GEO1
60GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
Moat Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Moat Score →
What does a Moat Score of 6 mean?
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a Moat Score of 6 as of Jul. 07, 2026. Moat Score is a ranking system developed by GuruFocus to assess a company's ability to sustain a competitive advantage, rated on a scale from 0 to 10. It takes into account key factors such as market leadership, cost advantages, network effects, customer switching costs, and more. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #17 out of 1092 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 1.6%.
Is The GEO Group's Moat Score too high?
The GEO Group's current Moat Score is 6. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #17 out of 1092 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's Moat Score compare to BCO and BRC?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #17 out of 1092 companies for Moat Score. This places The GEO Group in the top 2% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Moat Score for a Business Services company?
A good Moat Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Moat Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Moat Score mean?
A high Moat Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Moat Score is a ranking system developed by GuruFocus to assess a company's ability to sustain a competitive advantage, rated on a scale from 0 to 10. It takes into account key factors such as market leadership, cost advantages, network effects, customer switching costs, and more. The GEO Group's current Moat Score is 6. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN284.00, compared to a current price of MXN510.00 — trading 79.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Moat Score is 6. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Moat Score calculated?
Moat Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current Moat Score is 6 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN510.00 is trading 79.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN284.00. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • Moat Score: 6
  • GF Value™: MXN284.00 vs. price of MXN510.00 (79.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
60GF Score

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Moat Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN510.00
Price
MXN284.00
GF Value