The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) ROC %: 7.47% (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
54 GF Score
Price MXN478.00
GF Value MXN268.42
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is The GEO Group ROC %?

The GEO Group MEX:GEO1 54 ROC % is 7.47% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN268.42 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

ROC % measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. It is also called ROIC %. The GEO Group's annualized return on capital (ROC %) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 7.47%.

As of today (2026-06-26), The GEO Group's WACC % is 7.75%. The GEO Group's ROC % is 7.08% (calculated using TTM income statement data). The GEO Group earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital. It will destroy value as it grows.


The GEO Group  (MEX:GEO1) ROC % Explanation

ROC % measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. It is also called ROIC %. The reason book values of debt and equity are used is because the book values are the capital the company received when issuing the debt or receiving the equity investments.

There are four key components to this definition. The first is the use of operating income or EBIT rather than net income in the numerator. The second is the tax adjustment to this operating income or EBIT, computed as a hypothetical tax based on an effective or marginal tax rate. The third is the use of book values for invested capital, rather than market values. The final is the timing difference; the capital invested is from the end of the prior year whereas the operating income or EBIT is the current year's number.

Why is ROC % important?

Because it costs money to raise capital. A firm that generates higher returns on investment than it costs the company to raise the capital needed for that investment is earning excess returns. A firm that expects to continue generating positive excess returns on new investments in the future will see its value increase as growth increases, whereas a firm that earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital will destroy value as it grows.

As of today, The GEO Group's WACC % is 7.75%. The GEO Group's ROC % is 7.08% (calculated using TTM income statement data). The GEO Group earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital. It will destroy value as it grows.


Be Aware

Like ROE % and ROA %, ROC % is calculated with only 12 months of data. Fluctuations in the company's earnings or business cycles can affect the ratio drastically. It is important to look at the ratio from a long term perspective.


The GEO Group ROC % Related Terms


The GEO Group ROC % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's ROC % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group ROC % Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
ROC %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.80 7.68 7.35 7.84 6.01

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
ROC % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.75 5.99 7.04 6.40 7.47
MEX:GEO1
54GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
ROC % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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The GEO Group ROC % Calculation

The GEO Group's annualized Return on Capital (ROC %) for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as:

ROC % (A: Dec. 2025 )
=NOPAT/Average Invested Capital
=Operating Income * ( 1 - Tax Rate % )/( (Invested Capital (A: Dec. 2024 ) + Invested Capital (A: Dec. 2025 ))/ count )
=5313.302 * ( 1 - 25.55% )/( (68656.255 + 62881.037)/ 2 )
=3955.753339/65768.646
=6.01 %

where

Invested Capital(A: Dec. 2024 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=75749.571 - 5489.596 - ( 1603.72 - max(0, 7095.589 - 10431.583+1603.72))
=68656.255

Invested Capital(A: Dec. 2025 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=69207.105 - 5083.765 - ( 1242.303 - max(0, 6426.072 - 12937.618+1242.303))
=62881.037

The GEO Group's annualized Return on Capital (ROC %) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

ROC % (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=NOPAT/Average Invested Capital
=Operating Income * ( 1 - Tax Rate % )/( (Invested Capital (Q: Dec. 2025 ) + Invested Capital (Q: Mar. 2026 ))/ count )
=6441.208 * ( 1 - 28.53% )/( (62881.037 + 60429.886)/ 2 )
=4603.5313576/61655.4615
=7.47 %

where

Invested Capital(Q: Dec. 2025 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=69207.105 - 5083.765 - ( 1242.303 - max(0, 6426.072 - 12937.618+1242.303))
=62881.037

Invested Capital(Q: Mar. 2026 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=68744.944 - 6868.529 - ( 1446.529 - max(0, 7183.218 - 12602.405+1446.529))
=60429.886

Note: The Operating Income data used here is four times the quarterly (Mar. 2026) data. The tax rate is limited to between 0% and 100%.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about ROC % →
What does a ROC % of 7.47% mean?
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a ROC % of 7.47% as of Mar. 2026. Return on capital is the ratio of current-period net income to average two-period capital. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors.
Is The GEO Group's ROC % too high?
The GEO Group's current ROC % is 7.47%. The Business Services industry median ROC % is 5.93. The GEO Group's value of 7.47% is 26% above this industry median. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's ROC % compare to CXW and BRC?
The GEO Group's ROC % of 7.47% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. The industry median ROC % is 5.93. The GEO Group's value of 7.47% is 26% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good ROC % for a Business Services company?
The median ROC % among Business Services companies is 5.93, based on 1,075 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a ROC % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, ROC % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current ROC % of 7.47% is 26% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high ROC % mean?
A high ROC % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Return on capital is the ratio of current-period net income to average two-period capital. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median ROC % is 5.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current ROC % is 7.47%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN268.42, compared to a current price of MXN478.00 — trading 78.1% above its estimated fair value. The current ROC % is 7.47% and 26% above the Business Services industry median of 5.93. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is ROC % calculated?
ROC % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current ROC % is 7.47% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN478.00 is trading 78.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN268.42. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • ROC %: 7.47%
  • GF Value™: MXN268.42 vs. price of MXN478.00 (78.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 26% above the Business Services median

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GEO1

ROC % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN478.00
Price
MXN268.42
GF Value