The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) ROIC %: 7.47% (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
54 GF Score
Price MXN495.00
GF Value MXN276.74
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is The GEO Group ROIC %?

The GEO Group MEX:GEO1 54 ROIC % is 7.47% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN276.74 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

ROIC % measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. It is also called ROC %. The GEO Group's annualized return on invested capital (ROIC %) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 7.47%.

As of today (2026-06-30), The GEO Group's WACC % is 7.75%. The GEO Group's ROIC % is 7.08% (calculated using TTM income statement data). The GEO Group earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital. It will destroy value as it grows.


The GEO Group  (MEX:GEO1) ROIC % Explanation

ROIC % measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. It is also called ROC %. The reason book values of debt and equity are used is because the book values are the capital the company received when issuing the debt or receiving the equity investments.

There are four key components to this definition. The first is the use of operating income or EBIT rather than net income in the numerator. The second is the tax adjustment to this operating income or EBIT, computed as a hypothetical tax based on an effective or marginal tax rate. The third is the use of book values for invested capital, rather than market values. The final is the timing difference; the capital invested is from the end of the prior year whereas the operating income or EBIT is the current year's number.

Why is ROIC % important?

Because it costs money to raise capital. A firm that generates higher returns on investment than it costs the company to raise the capital needed for that investment is earning excess returns. A firm that expects to continue generating positive excess returns on new investments in the future will see its value increase as growth increases, whereas a firm that earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital will destroy value as it grows.

As of today, The GEO Group's WACC % is 7.75%. The GEO Group's ROIC % is 7.08% (calculated using TTM income statement data). The GEO Group earns returns that do not match up to its cost of capital. It will destroy value as it grows.


Be Aware

Like ROE % and ROA %, ROIC % is calculated with only 12 months of data. Fluctuations in the company's earnings or business cycles can affect the ratio drastically. It is important to look at the ratio from a long term perspective.


The GEO Group ROIC % Related Terms


The GEO Group ROIC % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's ROIC % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group ROIC % Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
ROIC %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.80 7.68 7.35 7.84 6.01

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
ROIC % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.75 5.99 7.04 6.40 7.47

MEX:GEO1 vs BCO, BRC, ADT: ROIC % Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's ROIC %, along with its competitors' market caps and ROIC % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group ROIC % vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's ROIC % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's ROIC % falls into.


MEX:GEO1
54GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
ROIC % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group ROIC % Calculation

The GEO Group's annualized Return on Invested Capital (ROIC %) for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as:

ROIC % (A: Dec. 2025 )
=NOPAT/Average Invested Capital
=Operating Income * ( 1 - Tax Rate % )/( (Invested Capital (A: Dec. 2024 ) + Invested Capital (A: Dec. 2025 ))/ count )
=5313.302 * ( 1 - 25.55% )/( (68656.255 + 62881.037)/ 2 )
=3955.753339/65768.646
=6.01 %

where

Invested Capital(A: Dec. 2024 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=75749.571 - 5489.596 - ( 1603.72 - max(0, 7095.589 - 10431.583+1603.72))
=68656.255

Invested Capital(A: Dec. 2025 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=69207.105 - 5083.765 - ( 1242.303 - max(0, 6426.072 - 12937.618+1242.303))
=62881.037

The GEO Group's annualized Return on Invested Capital (ROIC %) for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

ROIC % (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=NOPAT/Average Invested Capital
=Operating Income * ( 1 - Tax Rate % )/( (Invested Capital (Q: Dec. 2025 ) + Invested Capital (Q: Mar. 2026 ))/ count )
=6441.208 * ( 1 - 28.53% )/( (62881.037 + 60429.886)/ 2 )
=4603.5313576/61655.4615
=7.47 %

where

Invested Capital(Q: Dec. 2025 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=69207.105 - 5083.765 - ( 1242.303 - max(0, 6426.072 - 12937.618+1242.303))
=62881.037

Invested Capital(Q: Mar. 2026 )
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - Excess Cash
=Total Assets - Accounts Payable & Accrued Expense - ( Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities - max(0, Total Current Liabilities - Total Current Assets+Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities))
=68744.944 - 6868.529 - ( 1446.529 - max(0, 7183.218 - 12602.405+1446.529))
=60429.886

Note: The Operating Income data used here is four times the quarterly (Mar. 2026) data. The tax rate is limited to between 0% and 100%.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about ROIC % →
What does a ROIC % of 7.47% mean?
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a ROIC % of 7.47% as of Mar. 2026. Return on invested capital is the ratio of current-period net income to average two-period invested capital. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors.
Is The GEO Group's ROIC % too high?
The GEO Group's current ROIC % is 7.47%. The Business Services industry median ROIC % is 5.93. The GEO Group's value of 7.47% is 26% above this industry median. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's ROIC % compare to BCO and BRC?
The GEO Group's ROIC % of 7.47% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. The industry median ROIC % is 5.93. The GEO Group's value of 7.47% is 26% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good ROIC % for a Business Services company?
The median ROIC % among Business Services companies is 5.93, based on 1,075 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a ROIC % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, ROIC % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current ROIC % of 7.47% is 26% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high ROIC % mean?
A high ROIC % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Return on invested capital is the ratio of current-period net income to average two-period invested capital. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median ROIC % is 5.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current ROIC % is 7.47%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN276.74, compared to a current price of MXN495.00 — trading 78.9% above its estimated fair value. The current ROIC % is 7.47% and 26% above the Business Services industry median of 5.93. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is ROIC % calculated?
ROIC % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current ROIC % is 7.47% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN495.00 is trading 78.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN276.74. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • ROIC %: 7.47%
  • GF Value™: MXN276.74 vs. price of MXN495.00 (78.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 26% above the Business Services median

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GEO1

ROIC % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN495.00
Price
MXN276.74
GF Value