The GEO GroupMEX:GEO1 +3.56%54 Piotroski F-Score is 7 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 40% above its 10-year median of 5.00. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN268.53 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,063 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks better than 89.09% on this metric.
Good Sign:
Piotroski F-Score is 7, indicates a very healthy situation.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3
The GEO Group has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.
The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:GEO1'
s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3 Med: 5 Max: 7
Current: 7
During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of The GEO Group was 7. The lowest was 3. And the median was 5.
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Piotroski F-Score Explanation
The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.
He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.
He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.
What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.
Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.
Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).
Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.
The GEO Group Piotroski F-Score Related Terms
The GEO Group Piotroski F-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MEX:GEO1 vs CXW, BRC, BCO: Piotroski F-Score Comparison
For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Piotroski F-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The GEO Group Piotroski F-Score vs Business Services Industry
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score falls into.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Mar26) TTM:
Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Net Income was 548.08 + 3190.79 + 571.969 + 691.266 = MXN5,002 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 737.502 + 1459.373 + -2112.735 + 2821.775 = MXN2,906 Mil. Revenue was 11978.553 + 12517 + 12742.544 + 12716.894 = MXN49,955 Mil. Gross Profit was 11978.553 + 12517 + 12742.544 + 12716.894 = MXN49,955 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Mar25)
to the end of this year (Mar26) was
(74313.696 + 68941.591 + 69878.066 + 69207.105 + 68744.944) / 5 = MXN70217.0804 Mil. Total Assets at the begining of this year (Mar25) was MXN74,314 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN29,618 Mil. Total Current Assets was MXN12,602 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was MXN7,183 Mil.
Net Income was -595.642 + 518.249 + 323.076 + 400.121 = MXN646 Mil.
Revenue was 11123.692 + 11875.712 + 12674.426 + 12369.989 = MXN48,044 Mil. Gross Profit was 11123.692 + 11875.712 + 12674.426 + 12369.989 = MXN48,044 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Mar24)
to the end of last year (Mar25) was
(61149.068 + 66758.236 + 71540.61 + 75749.571 + 74313.696) / 5 = MXN69902.2362 Mil. Total Assets at the begining of last year (Mar24) was MXN61,149 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN35,344 Mil. Total Current Assets was MXN10,298 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was MXN7,954 Mil.
*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.
Profitability
Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)
Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.
Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.
The GEO Group's current Net Income (TTM) was 5,002.
==> Positive ==> Score 1.
Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)
Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.
The GEO Group's return on assets of this year was 0.06731067. The GEO Group's return on assets of last year was 0.01056114.
==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.
Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)
Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)
The GEO Group's gearing of this year was 0.42180193. The GEO Group's gearing of last year was 0.50561892.
==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.
Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)
Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.
Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower
The GEO Group's current ratio of this year was 1.7544233. The GEO Group's current ratio of last year was 1.29475222.
==> This year's current ratio is higher. ==> Score 1.
Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue
Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.
Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.
The GEO Group's number of shares in issue this year was 134.055. The GEO Group's number of shares in issue last year was 140.915.
==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.
Efficiency
Question 8. Change in Gross Margin
Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.
Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.
The GEO Group's gross margin of this year was 1. The GEO Group's gross margin of last year was 1.
==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.
Question 9. Change in asset turnover
Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.
Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower
The GEO Group's asset turnover of this year was 0.67221782. The GEO Group's asset turnover of last year was 0.78568359.
==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.
Evaluation
Piotroski F-Score
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6
Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3
The GEO Group has an F-score of 6 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a Piotroski F-Score of 7 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Piotroski F-score grades a company's business operating strength from 0-9. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. This is 40% above median its historical median of 5.00. Over the past decade, The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score has ranged from 3.00 to 7.00. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #116 out of 1063 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 10.9%.
Is The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score too high?
The GEO Group's current Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 40% above median its 10-year median of 5.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.00 to a high of 7.00. The Business Services industry median Piotroski F-Score is 5.00. The GEO Group's value of 7 is 40% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #116 out of 1063 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's Piotroski F-Score compare to CXW and BRC?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #116 out of 1063 companies for Piotroski F-Score. This places The GEO Group in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Piotroski F-Score is 5.00. The GEO Group's value of 7 is 40% above this benchmark. Historically, The GEO Group's own Piotroski F-Score has ranged from 3.00 to 7.00 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 5.00 vs. the industry median of 5.00, The GEO Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Piotroski F-Score for a Business Services company?
The median Piotroski F-Score among Business Services companies is 5.00, based on 1,063 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Piotroski F-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Piotroski F-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 40% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Piotroski F-Score mean?
A high Piotroski F-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Piotroski F-score grades a company's business operating strength from 0-9. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Piotroski F-Score is 5.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current Piotroski F-Score is 7, which is 40% above median its own 10-year median of 5.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN268.53, compared to a current price of MXN495.00 — trading 84.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Piotroski F-Score is 7, which is 40% above median its 10-year median of 5.00 and 40% above the Business Services industry median of 5.00. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Piotroski F-Score calculated?
Piotroski F-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current Piotroski F-Score is 7 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN495.00 is trading 84.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN268.53.
GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:
Piotroski F-Score: 7 (40% above median its 10-year median of 5.00)
GF Value™: MXN268.53 vs. price of MXN495.00 (84.3% above fair value)
Industry Position: 40% above the Business Services median (#116 of 1063)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
54GF Score
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