The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based): N/A (As of Jul. 19, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
52 GF Score
Price MXN506.00
GF Value MXN297.36
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is The GEO Group Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)?

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based).

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

The GEO Group's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero and Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) is not calculated.

MEX:GEO1 vs BCO, BRC, ADT: Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The GEO Group Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) falls into.


MEX:GEO1
52GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN506.00 is trading 70.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN297.36. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based): N/A
  • GF Value™: MXN297.36 vs. price of MXN506.00 (70.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GEO1

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN506.00
Price
MXN297.36
GF Value