The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) E10: MXN23.38 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
54 GF Score
Price MXN495.00
GF Value MXN268.53
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The GEO Group E10?

The GEO Group MEX:GEO1 +3.56% 54 E10 is MXN23.38 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN268.53 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

The GEO Group's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN5.229. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is MXN23.38 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, The GEO Group's average E10 Growth Rate was 4.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -2.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -1.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 2.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of The GEO Group was 27.90% per year. The lowest was -3.10% per year. And the median was 11.00% per year.

As of today (2026-06-28), The GEO Group's current stock price is MXN495.00. The GEO Group's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN23.38. The GEO Group's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 21.17.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of The GEO Group was 30.20. The lowest was 3.87. And the median was 12.30.


The GEO Group  (MEX:GEO1) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

The GEO Group's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=495.00/23.38
=21.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of The GEO Group was 30.20. The lowest was 3.87. And the median was 12.30.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


The GEO Group E10 Related Terms


The GEO Group E10 Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group E10 Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.97 26.21 22.27 25.82 24.42

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.06 22.99 25.38 24.42 23.38

MEX:GEO1 vs CXW, BRC, BCO: E10 Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group Shiller PE Ratio vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


MEX:GEO1
54GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
E10 is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, The GEO Group's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=5.229/330.2130*330.2130
=5.229

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

The GEO Group Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201606 3.884 241.018 5.321
201609 7.541 241.428 10.314
201612 9.071 241.432 12.407
201703 6.590 243.801 8.926
201706 4.519 244.955 6.092
201709 5.626 246.819 7.527
201712 5.892 246.524 7.892
201803 5.269 249.554 6.972
201806 6.091 251.989 7.982
201809 6.173 252.439 8.075
201812 5.498 251.233 7.226
201903 6.595 254.202 8.567
201906 6.723 256.143 8.667
201909 7.699 256.759 9.902
201912 6.035 256.974 7.755
202003 4.924 258.115 6.299
202006 7.155 257.797 9.165
202009 7.290 260.280 9.249
202012 1.790 260.474 2.269
202103 8.381 264.877 10.448
202106 5.773 271.696 7.016
202109 4.935 274.310 5.941
202112 -8.411 278.802 -9.962
202203 5.177 287.504 5.946
202206 7.444 296.311 8.296
202209 5.230 296.808 5.819
202212 5.459 296.797 6.074
202303 3.425 301.836 3.747
202306 3.429 305.109 3.711
202309 2.787 307.789 2.990
202312 3.565 306.746 3.838
202403 2.323 312.332 2.456
202406 -4.580 314.175 -4.814
202409 3.741 315.301 3.918
202412 2.294 315.605 2.400
202503 2.864 319.799 2.957
202506 3.954 322.561 4.048
202509 22.747 324.800 23.126
202512 4.141 324.054 4.220
202603 5.229 330.213 5.229

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about E10 →
What does a E10 of MXN23.38 mean?
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a E10 of MXN23.38 as of Mar. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors.
Is The GEO Group's E10 too high?
The GEO Group's current E10 is MXN23.38. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's E10 compare to CXW and BRC?
The GEO Group's E10 of MXN23.38 can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for a Business Services company?
A good E10 depends on the Business Services industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. The GEO Group's current E10 is MXN23.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN268.53, compared to a current price of MXN495.00 — trading 84.3% above its estimated fair value. The current E10 is MXN23.38. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current E10 is MXN23.38 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN495.00 is trading 84.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN268.53. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • E10: MXN23.38
  • GF Value™: MXN268.53 vs. price of MXN495.00 (84.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GEO1

E10 is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN495.00
Price
MXN268.53
GF Value