The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) FCF Margin %: 19.11% (As of Mar. 2026) — 127% Above Median


MEX:GEO1 The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
54 GF Score
Price MXN478.00
GF Value MXN268.42
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The GEO Group FCF Margin %?

The GEO Group MEX:GEO1 54 FCF Margin % is 19.11% as of Mar. 2026, which is 127% above its 10-year median of 8.41. GuruFocus rates MEX:GEO1 with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN268.42 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,070 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks worse than 69.35% on this metric.

FCF Margin % is calculated as Free Cash Flow divided by its Revenue. The GEO Group's Free Cash Flow for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN2,430 Mil. The GEO Group's Revenue for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN12,717 Mil. Therefore, The GEO Group's FCF Margin % for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 19.11%.

As of today, The GEO Group's current FCF Yield % is -0.78%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's FCF Margin % or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:GEO1' s FCF Margin % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.03   Med: 8.41   Max: 14.17
Current: -1.19


During the past 13 years, the highest FCF Margin % of The GEO Group was 14.17%. The lowest was -5.03%. And the median was 8.41%.

MEX:GEO1's FCF Margin % is ranked worse than
69.35% of 1070 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 3.47 vs MEX:GEO1: -1.19


The GEO Group FCF Margin % Related Terms


The GEO Group FCF Margin % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's FCF Margin % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group FCF Margin % Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
FCF Margin %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.45 8.33 8.49 6.75 -4.75

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
FCF Margin % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.69 0.37 -2.07 -21.70 19.11

MEX:GEO1 vs CXW, BRC, BCO: FCF Margin % Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's FCF Margin %, along with its competitors' market caps and FCF Margin % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group FCF Margin % vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's FCF Margin % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's FCF Margin % falls into.


MEX:GEO1
54GF Score
The GEO Group Inc MEX:GEO1
FCF Margin % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group FCF Margin % Calculation

FCF margin is the ratio of Free Cash Flow divided by net sales or Revenue, usually presented in percent.

The GEO Group's FCF Margin for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as

FCF Margin=Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2025 )/Revenue (A: Dec. 2025 )
=-2248.93/47382.882
=-4.75 %

The GEO Group's FCF Margin for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as

FCF Margin=Free Cash Flow (Q: Mar. 2026 )/Revenue (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=2429.942/12716.894
=19.11 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about FCF Margin % →
What does a FCF Margin % of 19.11% mean?
The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) has a FCF Margin % of 19.11% as of Mar. 2026. Free cash flow margin is the ratio of total free cash flow to net sales. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. This is 127% above median its historical median of 8.41. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #742 out of 1070 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 69.3%.
Is The GEO Group's FCF Margin % too high?
The GEO Group's current FCF Margin % of 19.11% is 127% above median its 10-year median of 8.41. The Business Services industry median FCF Margin % is 3.47. The GEO Group's value of 19.11% is 450.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #742 out of 1070 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's FCF Margin % compare to CXW and BRC?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #742 out of 1070 companies for FCF Margin %. This places The GEO Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median FCF Margin % is 3.47. The GEO Group's value of 19.11% is 450.7% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 8.41 vs. the industry median of 3.47, The GEO Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good FCF Margin % for a Business Services company?
The median FCF Margin % among Business Services companies is 3.47, based on 1,070 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a FCF Margin % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, FCF Margin % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current FCF Margin % of 19.11% is 450.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high FCF Margin % mean?
A high FCF Margin % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Free cash flow margin is the ratio of total free cash flow to net sales. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median FCF Margin % is 3.47 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current FCF Margin % is 19.11%, which is 127% above median its own 10-year median of 8.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN268.42, compared to a current price of MXN478.00 — trading 78.1% above its estimated fair value. The current FCF Margin % is 19.11%, which is 127% above median its 10-year median of 8.41 and 450.7% above the Business Services industry median of 3.47. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is FCF Margin % calculated?
FCF Margin % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1), the current FCF Margin % is 19.11% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (MEX:GEO1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN478.00 is trading 78.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN268.42. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:GEO1:

  • FCF Margin %: 19.11% (127% above median its 10-year median of 8.41)
  • GF Value™: MXN268.42 vs. price of MXN478.00 (78.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 450.7% above the Business Services median (#742 of 1070)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:GEO1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:GEO1

FCF Margin % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN478.00
Price
MXN268.42
GF Value