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Safety Insurance Group (NAS:SAFT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

: $6.73 (As of Sep. 2023)
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E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Safety Insurance Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Sep. 2023 was $2.020. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.73 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Safety Insurance Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Safety Insurance Group was 9.60% per year. The lowest was -7.30% per year. And the median was 6.40% per year.

As of today (2024-02-29), Safety Insurance Group's current stock price is $82.17. Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2023 was $6.73. Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 12.21.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Safety Insurance Group was 18.10. The lowest was 9.07. And the median was 12.90.


Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safety Insurance Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.34 5.61 5.97 7.01 6.90

Safety Insurance Group Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.99 6.90 6.89 6.72 6.73

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Safety Insurance Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Sep. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2023)
=2.02/129.8595*129.8595
=2.020

Current CPI (Sep. 2023) = 129.8595.

Safety Insurance Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201312 3.021 98.326 3.990
201403 -0.571 99.695 -0.744
201406 2.125 100.560 2.744
201409 2.710 100.428 3.504
201412 2.128 99.070 2.789
201503 -0.734 99.621 -0.957
201506 -1.794 100.684 -2.314
201509 1.587 100.392 2.053
201512 2.202 99.792 2.865
201603 0.033 100.470 0.043
201606 1.798 101.688 2.296
201609 2.987 101.861 3.808
201612 1.416 101.863 1.805
201703 0.008 102.862 0.010
201706 0.941 103.349 1.182
201709 2.050 104.136 2.556
201712 2.021 104.011 2.523
201803 -0.168 105.290 -0.207
201806 1.691 106.317 2.065
201809 3.718 106.507 4.533
201812 2.399 105.998 2.939
201903 -0.597 107.251 -0.723
201906 1.318 108.070 1.584
201909 3.399 108.329 4.075
201912 2.579 108.420 3.089
202003 -2.052 108.902 -2.447
202006 3.373 108.767 4.027
202009 3.199 109.815 3.783
202012 2.121 109.897 2.506
202103 0.648 111.754 0.753
202106 3.151 114.631 3.570
202109 3.088 115.734 3.465
202112 1.971 117.630 2.176
202203 -1.084 121.301 -1.160
202206 1.020 125.017 1.060
202209 1.550 125.227 1.607
202212 1.387 125.222 1.438
202303 -0.910 127.348 -0.928
202306 -0.038 128.729 -0.038
202309 2.020 129.860 2.020

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Safety Insurance Group  (NAS:SAFT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=82.17/6.73
=12.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Safety Insurance Group was 18.10. The lowest was 9.07. And the median was 12.90.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Safety Insurance Group (NAS:SAFT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Custom House Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Safety Insurance Group Inc is a provider of private passenger automobile insurance in Massachusetts. The company also offers property and casualty insurance products, including commercial automobiles, homeowners, dwelling fire, umbrella, and business owner policies. It operates in the business segment of Property and casualty insurance operations.
Executives
Glenn Hiltpold officer: VP of Actuarial Services 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Brophy Charles Joseph Iii director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Dennis J. Langwell director C/O LIBERTY MUTUAL GROUP, 175 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Srb Corp 10 percent owner 695 ATLANTIC AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02111
Peter J Manning director FLEETBOSTON FINANCIAL CORP, 100 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Christopher Thomas Whitford officer: VP, CFO and Secretary 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Stephen Albert Varga officer: VP - MIS 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
James Berry officer: VP - Insurance Operations C/O SAFETY INSURANCE, 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Farina John Daniel Jr. director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE ST, BOSTON MA 02110
Deborah E Gray director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Frederic H Lindeberg director C/O SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Ann Marie Mckeown officer: V.P Insurance Operations 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Moran Mary Coffey director DANVERS BANCORP, INC., ONE CONANT STREET, DANVERS MA 01923
David E Krupa officer: VP - Property Claims
David D Mckown director