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Safety Insurance Group (NAS:SAFT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

: 12.21 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-02-29), Safety Insurance Group's current share price is $82.17. Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2023 was $6.73. Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 12.21.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SAFT' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.07   Med: 12.9   Max: 18.1
Current: 12.7

During the past years, Safety Insurance Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 18.10. The lowest was 9.07. And the median was 12.90.

SAFT's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
58.1% of 315 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 11.09 vs SAFT: 12.70

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Safety Insurance Group's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2023 was $2.020. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.73 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safety Insurance Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.31 16.49 13.05 12.14 12.21

Safety Insurance Group Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.67 12.21 10.81 10.68 10.13

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=82.17/6.73
=12.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, Safety Insurance Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Sep. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2023)
=2.02/129.8595*129.8595
=2.020

Current CPI (Sep. 2023) = 129.8595.

Safety Insurance Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201312 3.021 98.326 3.990
201403 -0.571 99.695 -0.744
201406 2.125 100.560 2.744
201409 2.710 100.428 3.504
201412 2.128 99.070 2.789
201503 -0.734 99.621 -0.957
201506 -1.794 100.684 -2.314
201509 1.587 100.392 2.053
201512 2.202 99.792 2.865
201603 0.033 100.470 0.043
201606 1.798 101.688 2.296
201609 2.987 101.861 3.808
201612 1.416 101.863 1.805
201703 0.008 102.862 0.010
201706 0.941 103.349 1.182
201709 2.050 104.136 2.556
201712 2.021 104.011 2.523
201803 -0.168 105.290 -0.207
201806 1.691 106.317 2.065
201809 3.718 106.507 4.533
201812 2.399 105.998 2.939
201903 -0.597 107.251 -0.723
201906 1.318 108.070 1.584
201909 3.399 108.329 4.075
201912 2.579 108.420 3.089
202003 -2.052 108.902 -2.447
202006 3.373 108.767 4.027
202009 3.199 109.815 3.783
202012 2.121 109.897 2.506
202103 0.648 111.754 0.753
202106 3.151 114.631 3.570
202109 3.088 115.734 3.465
202112 1.971 117.630 2.176
202203 -1.084 121.301 -1.160
202206 1.020 125.017 1.060
202209 1.550 125.227 1.607
202212 1.387 125.222 1.438
202303 -0.910 127.348 -0.928
202306 -0.038 128.729 -0.038
202309 2.020 129.860 2.020

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Safety Insurance Group  (NAS:SAFT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Safety Insurance Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Safety Insurance Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Safety Insurance Group (NAS:SAFT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Custom House Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Safety Insurance Group Inc is a provider of private passenger automobile insurance in Massachusetts. The company also offers property and casualty insurance products, including commercial automobiles, homeowners, dwelling fire, umbrella, and business owner policies. It operates in the business segment of Property and casualty insurance operations.
Executives
Glenn Hiltpold officer: VP of Actuarial Services 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Brophy Charles Joseph Iii director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Dennis J. Langwell director C/O LIBERTY MUTUAL GROUP, 175 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Srb Corp 10 percent owner 695 ATLANTIC AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02111
Peter J Manning director FLEETBOSTON FINANCIAL CORP, 100 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Christopher Thomas Whitford officer: VP, CFO and Secretary 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Stephen Albert Varga officer: VP - MIS 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
James Berry officer: VP - Insurance Operations C/O SAFETY INSURANCE, 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Farina John Daniel Jr. director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE ST, BOSTON MA 02110
Deborah E Gray director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Frederic H Lindeberg director C/O SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Ann Marie Mckeown officer: V.P Insurance Operations 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Moran Mary Coffey director DANVERS BANCORP, INC., ONE CONANT STREET, DANVERS MA 01923
David E Krupa officer: VP - Property Claims
David D Mckown director