PPCCF (PICC Property and Casualty Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $1.84 (As of Jul. 24, 2026) — 229% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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PPCCF PICC Property and Casualty Co Ltd PPCCF
83 GF Score
Price $1.96
GF Value $1.73
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

PICC Property and Casualty Co PPCCF 83 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $1.84 as of Jul. 24, 2026, which is 229% above its 10-year median of 0.56. GuruFocus rates PPCCF with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.73. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 50 Insurance companies, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks worse than 1999998% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-24), PICC Property and Casualty Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $1.84.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

PICC Property and Casualty Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for PICC Property and Casualty Co is -6.52%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of PICC Property and Casualty Co was 0.64. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 0.56.

PPCCF's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 1.005
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

PICC Property and Casualty Co  (OTCPK:PPCCF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

PICC Property and Casualty Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

PICC Property and Casualty Co Quarterly Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

PPCCF vs CB, PGR, TRV: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


PPCCF
83GF Score
PICC Property and Casualty Co Ltd PPCCF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 13.50%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> PICC Property and Casualty Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 13.50%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 13.50%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.0909.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.135)/(1+0.11) = 1.0225225225225
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.0909*20.2124
=1.84

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (1.84 - 1.96) / 1.84
= -6.52 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $1.84 mean?
PICC Property and Casualty Co (PPCCF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $1.84 as of Jul. 24, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on PICC Property and Casualty Co and its competitors. This is 229% above median its historical median of 0.56. Over the past decade, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.48 to 0.64. According to the industry distribution chart, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks #999999 out of 50 companies in the Insurance industry.
Is PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
PICC Property and Casualty Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $1.84 is 229% above median its 10-year median of 0.56. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.48 to a high of 0.64. The Insurance industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.01. PICC Property and Casualty Co's value of $1.84 is 83.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks #999999 out of 50 companies in the Insurance industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, PICC Property and Casualty Co has a GF Score™ of 83/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to CB and PGR?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, PICC Property and Casualty Co ranks #999999 out of 50 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places PICC Property and Casualty Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.01. PICC Property and Casualty Co's value of $1.84 is 83.1% above this benchmark. Historically, PICC Property and Casualty Co's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.48 to 0.64 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.56 vs. the industry median of 1.01, PICC Property and Casualty Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for an Insurance company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Insurance companies is 1.01, based on 50 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. PICC Property and Casualty Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $1.84 is 83.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on PICC Property and Casualty Co and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PICC Property and Casualty Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $1.84, which is 229% above median its own 10-year median of 0.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PICC Property and Casualty Co stock overvalued right now?
PICC Property and Casualty Co (PPCCF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $1.84. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.73, compared to a current price of $1.96 — trading 13.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $1.84, which is 229% above median its 10-year median of 0.56 and 83.1% above the Insurance industry median of 1.01. PICC Property and Casualty Co's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PICC Property and Casualty Co (PPCCF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $1.84 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PICC Property and Casualty Co (PPCCF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PICC Property and Casualty Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.96 is trading 13.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.73.

Key valuation signals for PPCCF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $1.84 (229% above median its 10-year median of 0.56)
  • GF Value™: $1.73 vs. price of $1.96 (13.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 83.1% above the Insurance median (#999999 of 50)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PPCCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Business Description

Address Tower 2, No. 2 Jianguomenwai Avenue, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100022
PICC P&C is headquartered in Beijing. The company is China's largest nonlife insurer, commanding nearly 33% domestic market share. Founded by the People's Bank of China in 1949, PICC P&C operates as the flagship subsidiary of PICC Group—a state-owned insurance holding company that retains a 69% equity stake. The company underwrites a comprehensive suite of nonlife insurance products spanning auto, commercial property, liability, credit and surety, accident and health, energy and aerospace, and agricultural lines.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PPCCF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.96
Price
$1.73
GF Value