ALORY (Alior Bank) Beneish M-Score: -2.45 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ALORY Alior Bank SA ALORY
73 GF Score
Price $14.74
GF Value $10.66
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alior Bank Beneish M-Score?

Alior Bank ALORY 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ALORY with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.66. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,396 Banks companies, Alior Bank ranks better than 60.67% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alior Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALORY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.6   Med: -2.33   Max: -1.76
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alior Bank was -1.76. The lowest was -2.60. And the median was -2.33.

ALORY
73GF Score
Alior Bank SA ALORY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alior Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alior Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9992+0.892 * 1.0052+0.115 * 1.1924
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1554+4.679 * 0.01375-0.327 * 1.1019
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0 Mil.
Revenue was 418.323 + 418.112 + 429.471 + 428.547 = $1,694 Mil.
Gross Profit was 418.323 + 418.112 + 429.471 + 428.547 = $1,694 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $28,498 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $221 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $727 Mil.
Net Income was 109.722 + 187.145 + 153.164 + 174.229 = $624 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -147.021 + 865.093 + -560.496 + 74.838 = $232 Mil.
 Total Receivables was $0 Mil.
Revenue was 408.714 + 435.895 + 433.672 + 407.323 = $1,686 Mil.
Gross Profit was 408.714 + 435.895 + 433.672 + 407.323 = $1,686 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,286 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $183 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $73 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $127 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $608 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 1694.453) / (0 / 1685.604)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1685.604 / 1685.604) / (1694.453 / 1694.453)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 221.349) / 28497.695) / (1 - (0 + 183.081) / 26285.548)
=0.992233 / 0.993035
=0.9992

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1694.453 / 1685.604
=1.0052

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(72.933 / (72.933 + 183.081)) / (69.48 / (69.48 + 221.349))
=0.284879 / 0.238903
=1.1924

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(147.522 / 1694.453) / (127.011 / 1685.604)
=0.087062 / 0.07535
=1.1554

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((726.802 + 0) / 28497.695) / ((608.386 + 0) / 26285.548)
=0.025504 / 0.023145
=1.1019

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(624.26 - 0 - 232.414) / 28497.695
=0.01375

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alior Bank has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 mean?
Alior Bank (ALORY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.45 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alior Bank and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alior Bank ranks #549 out of 1396 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 39.3%.
Is Alior Bank's Beneish M-Score too high?
Alior Bank's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Based on the distribution chart, Alior Bank ranks #549 out of 1396 companies in the Banks industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alior Bank has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alior Bank's Beneish M-Score compare to JPM and BAC?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Alior Bank ranks #549 out of 1396 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Alior Bank in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Banks company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Banks industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alior Bank and its competitors. Alior Bank's current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alior Bank stock overvalued right now?
Alior Bank (ALORY) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.45. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.66, compared to a current price of $14.74 — trading 38.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.45. Alior Bank's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alior Bank (ALORY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.45 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alior Bank (ALORY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alior Bank stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $14.74 is trading 38.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $10.66.

Key valuation signals for ALORY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.45
  • GF Value™: $10.66 vs. price of $14.74 (38.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ALORY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alior Bank Business Description

Address ul. Lopuszanska 38D, Warsaw, POL, 02-232
Alior Bank SA is a universal lending and deposit-taking bank that provides services to a Polish customer base. Its core activities include maintaining bank accounts, granting loans and advances, issuing banking securities, and buying and selling foreign currencies. Its subsidiary group company conducts brokerage activities, consulting, financial agency services, and other financial services. Its loan and advances book is diversified across various categories, notably retail cash loans and overdrafts, housing loans and other mortgages, working capital, and investment loans. The group's operations are financed from the funds of non-financial-sector customers deposited with the bank.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ALORY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$14.74
Price
$10.66
GF Value