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Arion banki hf (OISE:ARION) Beneish M-Score : -2.46 (As of Mar. 24, 2025)


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What is Arion banki hf Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arion banki hf's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OISE:ARION' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.04   Med: -2.46   Max: -2.1
Current: -2.46

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arion banki hf was -2.10. The lowest was -3.04. And the median was -2.46.


Arion banki hf Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arion banki hf for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0004+0.892 * 1.0357+0.115 * 1.0211
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.145+4.679 * 0.001556-0.327 * 0.9751
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr0 Mil.
Revenue was 17900 + 17418 + 16843 + 14450 = kr66,611 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17900 + 17418 + 16843 + 14450 = kr66,611 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr1,618,267 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr4,211 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1,697 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr5,753 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr478,691 Mil.
Net Income was 8290 + 7872 + 5505 + 4444 = kr26,111 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 25379 + -48299 + 27882 + 18631 = kr23,593 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr0 Mil.
Revenue was 16232 + 14981 + 17574 + 15525 = kr64,312 Mil.
Gross Profit was 16232 + 14981 + 17574 + 15525 = kr64,312 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr1,525,672 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr4,544 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1,886 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr4,851 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr462,813 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 66611) / (0 / 64312)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(64312 / 64312) / (66611 / 66611)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 4211) / 1618267) / (1 - (0 + 4544) / 1525672)
=0.997398 / 0.997022
=1.0004

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=66611 / 64312
=1.0357

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1886 / (1886 + 4544)) / (1697 / (1697 + 4211))
=0.293313 / 0.287238
=1.0211

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5753 / 66611) / (4851 / 64312)
=0.086367 / 0.075429
=1.145

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((478691 + 0) / 1618267) / ((462813 + 0) / 1525672)
=0.295805 / 0.30335
=0.9751

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(26111 - 0 - 23593) / 1618267
=0.001556

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arion banki hf has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Arion banki hf Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arion banki hf Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Borgartun 19, Reykjavik, ISL, 105
Arion banki hf is a universal relationship bank operating in the Icelandic financial market. Its operating segments are Markets & Stefnir, Corporate & Investment Banking, Retail Banking, Treasury, Other subsidiaries, and Supporting units. The Corporate & Investment Banking segment of the company generates the majority of the revenue and is engaged in providing comprehensive financial services to companies and investors both in Iceland and internationally.