COL Financial Group (PHS:COL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 6.45% (As of Mar. 2026) — 60% Below Median

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PHS:COL COL Financial Group Inc PHS:COL
74 GF Score
Price ₱1.35
GF Value ₱1.79
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is COL Financial Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

COL Financial Group PHS:COL +0.75% 74 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.45% as of Mar. 2026, which is 60% below its 10-year median of 15.94. GuruFocus rates PHS:COL with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱1.79 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 515 Capital Markets companies, COL Financial Group ranks worse than 56.31% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. COL Financial Group's forward rate of return for was 6.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:COL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.49   Med: 15.94   Max: 34.53
Current: 6.83

During the past 13 years, COL Financial Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 34.53. The lowest was -8.49. And the median was 15.94.

PHS:COL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
56.31% of 515 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 9.58 vs PHS:COL: 6.83

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


COL Financial Group  (PHS:COL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


COL Financial Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


COL Financial Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

COL Financial Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

COL Financial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.30 -1.76 -4.24 3.92 5.42

COL Financial Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.27 5.80 3.20 5.42 6.45

PHS:COL vs MS, GS, SCHW: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


COL Financial Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


PHS:COL
74GF Score
COL Financial Group Inc PHS:COL
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

COL Financial Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.10247619/1.4+-0.0087
=6.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.45% mean?
COL Financial Group (PHS:COL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.45% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on COL Financial Group and its competitors. This is 60% below median its historical median of 15.94. According to the industry distribution chart, COL Financial Group ranks #290 out of 515 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 56.3%.
Is COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
COL Financial Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.45% is 60% below median its 10-year median of 15.94. The Capital Markets industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.58. COL Financial Group's value of 6.45% is 32.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, COL Financial Group ranks #290 out of 515 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, COL Financial Group has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does COL Financial Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, COL Financial Group ranks #290 out of 515 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places COL Financial Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.58. COL Financial Group's value of 6.45% is 32.7% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 15.94 vs. the industry median of 9.58, COL Financial Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Capital Markets company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Capital Markets companies is 9.58, based on 515 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. COL Financial Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 6.45% is 32.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on COL Financial Group and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.58 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. COL Financial Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.45%, which is 60% below median its own 10-year median of 15.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is COL Financial Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, COL Financial Group (PHS:COL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱1.79, compared to a current price of ₱1.35 — trading 24.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.45%, which is 60% below median its 10-year median of 15.94 and 32.7% below the Capital Markets industry median of 9.58. COL Financial Group's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For COL Financial Group (PHS:COL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.45% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is COL Financial Group (PHS:COL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, COL Financial Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱1.35 is trading 24.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱1.79. GuruFocus considers COL Financial Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:COL:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 6.45% (60% below median its 10-year median of 15.94)
  • GF Value™: ₱1.79 vs. price of ₱1.35 (24.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 32.7% below the Capital Markets median (#290 of 515)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:COL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


COL Financial Group Business Description

Address Exchange Road, 24th Floor East Tower, Tektite Towers, Ortigas Center, Pasig City, PHL, 1605
COL Financial Group Inc is mainly engaged in offering stock brokerage and fund distribution services through internet technology. The Group also provides financial advice, gathers and distributes financial and investment information and statistics, and acts as a financial, commercial, or business representative. It operates through two segments: stockbrokerage services, which generate maximum revenue and pertain to the Group's stockbrokerage companies, mainly the Parent Company and COLHK; and others, which pertain to subsidiaries other than COLHK, including CIMI, an asset management firm, and CEIUMF and CSGEUMF, which are unitized funds. The Group generates maximum revenue from the Philippines.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:COL

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱1.35
Price
₱1.79
GF Value