Banque Cantonale de Geneve (XSWX:BCGE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 52.79% (As of Dec. 2025) — 35% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:BCGE Banque Cantonale de Geneve XSWX:BCGE
58 GF Score
Price CHF31.30
GF Value CHF24.82
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Banque Cantonale de Geneve XSWX:BCGE +0.97% 58 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 52.79% as of Dec. 2025, which is 35% below its 10-year median of 81.33. GuruFocus rates XSWX:BCGE with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF24.82 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,418 Banks companies, Banque Cantonale de Geneve ranks better than 87.31% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Banque Cantonale de Geneve's forward rate of return for was 52.79%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:BCGE' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 37.99   Med: 81.33   Max: 202.07
Current: 42.63

During the past 13 years, Banque Cantonale de Geneve's highest Forward Rate of Return was 202.07. The lowest was 37.99. And the median was 81.33.

XSWX:BCGE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
87.31% of 1418 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.34 vs XSWX:BCGE: 42.63

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Banque Cantonale de Geneve  (XSWX:BCGE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Banque Cantonale de Geneve Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 71.70 67.32 56.19 58.69 52.79

Banque Cantonale de Geneve Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.19 0.00 58.69 0.00 52.79

Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


XSWX:BCGE
58GF Score
Banque Cantonale de Geneve XSWX:BCGE
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Banque Cantonale de Geneve Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=11.046/24.6+0.0789
=52.79 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 52.79% mean?
Banque Cantonale de Geneve (XSWX:BCGE) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 52.79% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Banque Cantonale de Geneve and its competitors. This is 35% below median its historical median of 81.33. Over the past decade, Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 37.99 to 202.07. According to the industry distribution chart, Banque Cantonale de Geneve ranks #180 out of 1418 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 12.7%.
Is Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Banque Cantonale de Geneve's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 52.79% is 35% below median its 10-year median of 81.33. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 37.99 to a high of 202.07. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.34. Banque Cantonale de Geneve's value of 52.79% is 244.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Banque Cantonale de Geneve ranks #180 out of 1418 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Banque Cantonale de Geneve has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Banque Cantonale de Geneve's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Banque Cantonale de Geneve ranks #180 out of 1418 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Banque Cantonale de Geneve in the top 13% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.34. Banque Cantonale de Geneve's value of 52.79% is 244.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Banque Cantonale de Geneve's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 37.99 to 202.07 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 81.33 vs. the industry median of 15.34, Banque Cantonale de Geneve has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.34, based on 1,418 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Banque Cantonale de Geneve's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 52.79% is 244.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Banque Cantonale de Geneve and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Banque Cantonale de Geneve's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 52.79%, which is 35% below median its own 10-year median of 81.33. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Banque Cantonale de Geneve stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Banque Cantonale de Geneve (XSWX:BCGE) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF24.82, compared to a current price of CHF31.30 — trading 26.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 52.79%, which is 35% below median its 10-year median of 81.33 and 244.1% above the Banks industry median of 15.34. Banque Cantonale de Geneve's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Banque Cantonale de Geneve (XSWX:BCGE), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 52.79% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Banque Cantonale de Geneve (XSWX:BCGE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Banque Cantonale de Geneve stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF31.30 is trading 26.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF24.82. GuruFocus considers Banque Cantonale de Geneve to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:BCGE:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 52.79% (35% below median its 10-year median of 81.33)
  • GF Value™: CHF24.82 vs. price of CHF31.30 (26.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 244.1% above the Banks median (#180 of 1418)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:BCGE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Banque Cantonale de Geneve Business Description

Other Exchanges BCGEz:UK0RMP:UK1J8:Germany
Address Quai de L'Ile 17, P.O. Box 2251, Geneva, CHE, 1211
Banque Cantonale de Genève (BCGE) is a Switzerland-based bank which provides the services of a regional full-service bank and has the particular role of contributing to the economic development of the canton and of the region. Its activities include providing mortgage lending and commercial and personal loans as well as loans for international trade. The group is also active in online banking as well as asset management and manages public offerings and placements in the financial markets.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:BCGE

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF31.30
Price
CHF24.82
GF Value