Dubai Insurance Co PSC (DFM:DIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


DFM:DIN Dubai Insurance Co PSC DFM:DIN
73 GF Score
Price د.إ17.00
GF Value د.إ17.69
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Dubai Insurance Co PSC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Dubai Insurance Co PSC DFM:DIN 73 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates DFM:DIN with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of د.إ17.69 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dubai Insurance Co PSC  (DFM:DIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dubai Insurance Co PSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


DFM:DIN vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dubai Insurance Co PSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


DFM:DIN
73GF Score
Dubai Insurance Co PSC DFM:DIN
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Dubai Insurance Co PSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.12

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Dubai Insurance Co PSC (DFM:DIN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Dubai Insurance Co PSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Dubai Insurance Co PSC has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BRK.A and AIG?
Dubai Insurance Co PSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Insurance company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Dubai Insurance Co PSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dubai Insurance Co PSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dubai Insurance Co PSC (DFM:DIN) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is د.إ17.69, compared to a current price of د.إ17.00 — trading 3.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Dubai Insurance Co PSC's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dubai Insurance Co PSC (DFM:DIN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dubai Insurance Co PSC (DFM:DIN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dubai Insurance Co PSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of د.إ17.00 is trading 3.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of د.إ17.69. GuruFocus considers Dubai Insurance Co PSC to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for DFM:DIN:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: د.إ17.69 vs. price of د.إ17.00 (3.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the DFM:DIN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dubai Insurance Co PSC Business Description

Address 37 Al Riqqa Road, Deira, P.O. Box 3027, Al Muraqqabat, Deira, Dubai, ARE
Dubai Insurance Co PSC is an insurance company. The company issues short-term insurance contracts in connection with general insurance including motor, marine, fire, engineering, accident; and life insurance includes group life and individual life. The company operates in three segments: The Medical and life insurance segment offers short-term group health and life insurance. The Motor and general insurance segment comprises general and health insurance. Products offered under general insurance include motor, marine, fire, engineering, general accident, and medical. The company derives maximum revenue from Motor and general insurance segment.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DFM:DIN

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

د.إ17.00
Price
د.إ17.69
GF Value