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Amerant Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.05% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Amerant Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Amerant Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Amerant Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Amerant Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amerant Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Amerant Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.66

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Amerant Bancorp  (NAS:AMTB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Amerant Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Amerant Bancorp Business Description

Amerant Bancorp logo
Industry
Financial Services » Banks NAICS : 522110 SIC : 6022
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
220 Alhambra Circle, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134
Amerant Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. Through its bank, it provides individuals and businesses deposit, credit, investment, wealth management and fiduciary services, both in the United States and to select international customers. The bank also provides banking services through traditional channels, such as banking centers and ATMs, as well as via secure websites, mobile devices, and telephone.
Executives
Quelch John director C/O INVERNESS MEDICAL INNOVATIONS INC 51 SAWYER RD WALTHAM MA 02453
Holroyd Samantha director 1711 MARAVILLA DR. HOUSTON TX 77055
Ashford Orlando D director C/O AMERANT BANK 220 ALHAMBRA CR. CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Suarez Oscar director 220 ALHAMBRA CR. CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Iafigliola Carlos officer: See remarks 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Lare Dolores M director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Fleitas Armando officer: See remarks 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Plush Gerald P director WEBSTER FINANCIAL CORPORATION 145 BANK STREET WATERBURY CT 06702
Quill John Walton director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Trabanco Jorge officer: Chief Accounting Officer 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Figueredo Alfonso officer: See Remarks 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Villamil Jose Antonio director 2601 SOUTH BAYSHORE DRIVE, PH II COCONUT GROVE FL 33133
Copeland Frederick C Jr director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Gonzalez S Alejandro director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Mercantil Servicios Financieros, C.a. 10 percent owner C/O IVAN TRUJILLO 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134

Amerant Bancorp Headlines

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