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World Acceptance (World Acceptance) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.04% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where World Acceptance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.79

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


World Acceptance  (NAS:WRLD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


World Acceptance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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World Acceptance (World Acceptance) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
104 South Main Street, Greenville, SC, USA, 29601
World Acceptance Corp operates a small-loan consumer finance business. The company offers short-term small installment loans, medium-term larger installment loans, related credit insurance and ancillary products and services to individuals. It also offers income tax return preparation services to its loan customers and other individuals.
Executives
Calmes John L Jr officer: VP, CFO and Treasurer C/O WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPORATION, 108 FREDERICK STREET, GREENVILLE SC 29607
Jason E. Childers officer: SVP, IT Strategic Solutions 108 FREDERICK STREET, GREENVILLE SC 29607
Scott Mcintyre officer: SVP, Accounting 108 FREDERICK STREET, GREENVILLE SC 29607
Clifford Sosin 10 percent owner 8 WRIGHT STREET, 1ST FL, WESTPORT CT 06880
Thomas W Smith 10 percent owner, other: Member of Section 13(d) Group 2200 BUTTS ROAD, SUITE 320, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Luke J. Umstetter officer: SVP, General Counsel 104 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, GREENVILLE SC 29601
Darrell E Whitaker director 14 BATSON ORCHARD CT., TAYLORS SC 29687
R Chad Prashad officer: See remarks 108 FREDERICK STREET, GREENVILLE SC 29607
Alice Lindsay Caulder officer: SVP, Human Resources 108 FREDERICK STREET, GREENVILLE SC 29607
Daniel Clinton Dyer officer: SVP, CENTRAL DIVISION 230 4TH AVENUE NORTH SUITE 500, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Charles D Way director
Elizabeth R. Neuhoff director 146 SOTA DRIVE, JUPITER FL 33458
Robinson Benjamin E Iii director 325 CORPORATE DRIVE, PORTSMOUTH NH 03885
Bramlett Ken R Jr director 2709 WATER RIDGE PARKWAY, 2ND FLOOR, CHARLOTTE NC 28217
Alison N Labruyere officer: SVP and General Counsel 108 FREDERICK STREET, GREENVILLE SC 29607