Old Second Bancorp (FRA:OSB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €28.16 (As of Sep. 03, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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FRA:OSB Old Second Bancorp Inc FRA:OSB
73 GF Score
Price €19.70
GF Value €15.10
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Old Second Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Old Second Bancorp FRA:OSB 73 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €28.16 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:OSB with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of €15.10 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,294 Banks companies, Old Second Bancorp ranks worse than 61.98% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-03), Old Second Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €28.16. The stock price of Old Second Bancorp is €19.70. Therefore, Old Second Bancorp's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Old Second Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:OSB' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 0.61   Max: 1.06
Current: 0.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Old Second Bancorp was 1.06. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.61.

FRA:OSB's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
61.98% of 1294 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.6 vs FRA:OSB: 0.70

Old Second Bancorp  (FRA:OSB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Old Second Bancorp's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.70/33.109527366375
=0.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Old Second Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Old Second Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Old Second Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Old Second Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Old Second Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.35 19.93 24.38 25.54 29.39

Old Second Bancorp Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.73 26.42 29.39 29.72 31.62

FRA:OSB vs HBT, FMBH, PFBC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Old Second Bancorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Old Second Bancorp Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Old Second Bancorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Old Second Bancorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


FRA:OSB
73GF Score
Old Second Bancorp Inc FRA:OSB
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Old Second Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Old Second Bancorp's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €78.63.

Old Second Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.973715027901*78.63024+783.64*0.8)/52.120
=33.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €28.16 mean?
Old Second Bancorp (FRA:OSB) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €28.16 as of Sep. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Old Second Bancorp and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Old Second Bancorp ranks #802 out of 1294 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 62%.
Is Old Second Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Old Second Bancorp's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €28.16. Based on the distribution chart, Old Second Bancorp ranks #802 out of 1294 companies in the Banks industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Old Second Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Old Second Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HBT and FMBH?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Old Second Bancorp ranks #802 out of 1294 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Old Second Bancorp in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.60, based on 1,294 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Old Second Bancorp and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Old Second Bancorp's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €28.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Old Second Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Old Second Bancorp (FRA:OSB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €15.10, compared to a current price of €19.70 — trading 30.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €28.16. Old Second Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Old Second Bancorp (FRA:OSB), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €28.16 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Old Second Bancorp (FRA:OSB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Old Second Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €19.70 is trading 30.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €15.10. GuruFocus considers Old Second Bancorp to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:OSB:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €28.16
  • GF Value™: €15.10 vs. price of €19.70 (30.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:OSB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Old Second Bancorp Business Description

Other Exchanges OSBC:USA
Address 37 South River Street, Aurora, IL, USA, 60507
Old Second Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. It provides consumer and commercial banking products such as demand, money market, savings, time deposit, and individual retirement as well as commercial, industrial, consumer, and real estate lending, including installment loans, student loans, agricultural loans, lines of credit and overdraft checking, safe deposit operations, trust services, wealth management services, and additional services tailored to the needs of individual customers, corporates, small-medium enterprises. The company has one operating segment, which is community banking. The company's revenue consists of interest, commission, payments, and other income.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:OSB

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€19.70
Price
€15.10
GF Value