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Amerant Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $41.87 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-05-19), Amerant Bancorp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $41.87.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Amerant Bancorp's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Amerant Bancorp is 33.51%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amerant Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Amerant Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amerant Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amerant Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Amerant Bancorp Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Amerant Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $3.090.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Amerant Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.090*13.5514
=41.87

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(41.87-27.84)/41.87
=33.51 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amerant Bancorp  (NAS:AMTB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Amerant Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amerant Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amerant Bancorp Business Description

Amerant Bancorp logo
Industry
Financial Services » Banks NAICS : 522110 SIC : 6022
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
220 Alhambra Circle, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134
Amerant Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. Through its bank, it provides individuals and businesses deposit, credit, investment, wealth management and fiduciary services, both in the United States and to select international customers. The bank also provides banking services through traditional channels, such as banking centers and ATMs, as well as via secure websites, mobile devices, and telephone.
Executives
Quelch John director C/O INVERNESS MEDICAL INNOVATIONS INC 51 SAWYER RD WALTHAM MA 02453
Holroyd Samantha director 1711 MARAVILLA DR. HOUSTON TX 77055
Ashford Orlando D director C/O AMERANT BANK 220 ALHAMBRA CR. CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Suarez Oscar director 220 ALHAMBRA CR. CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Iafigliola Carlos officer: See remarks 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Lare Dolores M director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Fleitas Armando officer: See remarks 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Plush Gerald P director WEBSTER FINANCIAL CORPORATION 145 BANK STREET WATERBURY CT 06702
Quill John Walton director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Trabanco Jorge officer: Chief Accounting Officer 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Figueredo Alfonso officer: See Remarks 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Villamil Jose Antonio director 2601 SOUTH BAYSHORE DRIVE, PH II COCONUT GROVE FL 33133
Copeland Frederick C Jr director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Gonzalez S Alejandro director 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Mercantil Servicios Financieros, C.a. 10 percent owner C/O IVAN TRUJILLO 220 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE CORAL GABLES FL 33134

Amerant Bancorp Headlines

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