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Flight Centre Travel GroupFGETF 75 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus rates FGETF with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $16.76 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 565 Travel & Leisure companies, Flight Centre Travel Group ranks better than 57.35% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Flight Centre Travel Group's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FGETF'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.86 Med: 7.23 Max: 22.93
Current: 16.06
During the past 13 years, Flight Centre Travel Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.93. The lowest was 4.86. And the median was 7.23.
FGETF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 57.35% of 565
companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 10.4
vs FGETF: 16.06
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Flight Centre Travel Group (OTCPK:FGETF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Flight Centre Travel Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Flight Centre Travel Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Flight Centre Travel Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
FGETF vs BKNG, ABNB, RCL: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Travel Services subindustry, Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Flight Centre Travel Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Flight Centre Travel Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Flight Centre Travel Group (FGETF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Flight Centre Travel Group and its competitors. Over the past decade, Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 4.86 to 22.93. According to the industry distribution chart, Flight Centre Travel Group ranks #241 out of 565 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 42.7%.
Is Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Flight Centre Travel Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 4.86 to a high of 22.93. Based on the distribution chart, Flight Centre Travel Group ranks #241 out of 565 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Flight Centre Travel Group has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Flight Centre Travel Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BKNG and ABNB?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Flight Centre Travel Group ranks #241 out of 565 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Flight Centre Travel Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.40. Historically, Flight Centre Travel Group's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 4.86 to 22.93 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Travel & Leisure companies is 10.40, based on 565 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Flight Centre Travel Group and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.40 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Flight Centre Travel Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Flight Centre Travel Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Flight Centre Travel Group (FGETF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $16.76, compared to a current price of $8.28 — trading 50.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Flight Centre Travel Group's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Flight Centre Travel Group (FGETF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Flight Centre Travel Group (FGETF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Flight Centre Travel Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $8.28 is trading 50.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $16.76.
GuruFocus considers Flight Centre Travel Group to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for FGETF:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
GF Value™: $16.76 vs. price of $8.28 (50.6% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FGETF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Flight Centre Travel is one of the largest travel intermediaries in the world. The group generates around half of its total transaction value, or TTV, from the corporate unit, with the other half from the leisure market and ancillary travel-related businesses. In corporate travel, Flight Centre is a global Top 4 agent operating in over 100 countries, with different brands catering to various customer segments (small and midsize businesses to large enterprises). In leisure, Flight Centre operates an extensive network of shops while also runs online channels and deal with independent agents. Over half of group TTV is generated in Australia and New Zealand, 20% from Americas, just under 20% from Europe, and the rest from Asia.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for FGETF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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