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ENVA (Enova International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Enova International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Enova International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Enova International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Enova International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Enova International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Enova International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Enova International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Enova International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Enova International  (NYSE:ENVA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Enova International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Enova International Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
175 West Jackson Boulevard, Suite 1000, Chicago, IL, USA, 60604
Enova International Inc provides online financial services, including short-term consumer loans, line of credit accounts, and installment loans to customers mainly in the United States and the United Kingdom. Consumers apply for credit online, receive a decision almost immediately, and can receive funds within one day. Enova acts as either the lender or a third-party facilitator between borrowers and other lenders. The company earns revenue from interest income, finance charges, and other fees, including fees on the transactions between borrowers and third-party lenders. The majority of revenue comes from the United States. The company realizes similar amounts of revenue from each of its three different products: short-term loans, lines of credit, and installment loans.
Executives
David Fisher director, officer: President - CEO 39 SOUTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 220, CHICAGO IL 60605
Sean Rahilly officer: VP - Chief Compliance Officer C/O ENOVA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 175 W. JACKSON BLVD., CHICAGO IL 60604
Steven E Cunningham officer: Executive VP - CFO & Treasurer 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Linda Johnson Rice director
Kirk Chartier officer: SVP - Chief Marketing Officer C/O OPTIONSXPRESS HOLDINGS, INC., 311 WEST MONROE; SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
James Joseph Lee officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ENOVA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 175 W. JACKSON BLVD., SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60604
Gregg A. Kaplan director C/O ENOVA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 175 W. JACKSON BLVD., CHICAGO IL 60604
Ellen Carnahan director 222 WEST ADAMS ST, C/O WILLIAM BLAIR VENTURE MANAGEMENT CO, CHICAGO IL 60606-5307
James A Gray director 39 SOUTH LASALLE STREET SUITE 220, CHICAGO IL 60605
William M Goodyear director NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC, 615 N. WABASH AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Mark Mcgowan director C/O COMBIMATRIX CORPORATION, 6500 HARBOUR HEIGHTS PARKWAY, SUITE 303, MUKILTEO WA 98275
Gregory T Zeeman officer: SVP - Chief Operating Officer C/O HSBC NORTH AMERICA, 26525 N. RIVERWOODS BLVD., METTAWA IL 60045
Daniel R Feehan director CASH AMERICA INTL INC, 1600 W &TH ST, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Mark Tebbe director LANTE CORP, 161 NORTH CLARK STREET, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60601
John Higginson officer: VP - Chief Technology Officer C/O ENOVA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 175 W. JACKSON BLVD., CHICAGO IL 60604