NICO Holdings (MSW:NICO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Dec. 2025)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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MSW:NICO NICO Holdings PLC MSW:NICO
79 GF Score
Price MWK1,343.37
GF Value MWK1,283.78
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is NICO Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

NICO Holdings MSW:NICO 79 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates MSW:NICO with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of MWK1,283.78 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 280 Insurance companies, NICO Holdings ranks worse than 357142.5% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. NICO Holdings's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for NICO Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MSW:NICO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 16.855
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


NICO Holdings  (MSW:NICO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


NICO Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


NICO Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NICO Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NICO Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

NICO Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

NICO Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

MSW:NICO vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, NICO Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NICO Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, NICO Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NICO Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


MSW:NICO
79GF Score
NICO Holdings PLC MSW:NICO
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

NICO Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

NICO Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/1736.51+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
NICO Holdings (MSW:NICO) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on NICO Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, NICO Holdings ranks #999999 out of 280 companies in the Insurance industry.
Is NICO Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
NICO Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Based on the distribution chart, NICO Holdings ranks #999999 out of 280 companies in the Insurance industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, NICO Holdings has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NICO Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BRK.A and AIG?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, NICO Holdings ranks #999999 out of 280 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places NICO Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.86. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Insurance company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Insurance companies is 16.86, based on 280 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on NICO Holdings and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. NICO Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NICO Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NICO Holdings (MSW:NICO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MWK1,283.78, compared to a current price of MWK1,343.37 — trading 4.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. NICO Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NICO Holdings (MSW:NICO), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NICO Holdings (MSW:NICO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NICO Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MWK1,343.37 is trading 4.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of MWK1,283.78. GuruFocus considers NICO Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MSW:NICO:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
  • GF Value™: MWK1,283.78 vs. price of MWK1,343.37 (4.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MSW:NICO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NICO Holdings Business Description

Address Chibisa House-19 Glyn Jones Road, PO Box 501, Blantyre, MWI
NICO Holdings PLC is a Malawi-based financial service company that operates in diversified business. Its segments include Life Insurance and Pension, General Insurance business, Banking business, Investment Holding, Asset Management, and Information Technology. Its general insurance segment offers personal and commercial insurance covering motor vehicle, building, road construction, liability, engineering, professional indemnity, marine hull & cargo, fire, and personal accidents throughout Malawi, Zambia, Tanzania, and Uganda. In contrast, life insurance and pension products including Endowment Assurance are offered in Malawi and Mozambique. The majority of the revenue is earned from the Insurance sector. while its Asset Management and Banking segments only operate in Malawi.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MSW:NICO

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MWK1,343.37
Price
MWK1,283.78
GF Value