Standard Bank Malawi (MSW:STANDARD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 21.26% (As of Dec. 2025) — Near Median

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MSW:STANDARD Standard Bank Malawi PLC MSW:STANDARD
81 GF Score
Price MWK3,995.75
GF Value MWK1,958.69
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
View Full Analysis

What is Standard Bank Malawi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Standard Bank Malawi MSW:STANDARD 81 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 21.26% as of Dec. 2025, which is 1% below its 10-year median of 21.57. GuruFocus rates MSW:STANDARD with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of MWK1,958.69 (Significantly Overvalued). Among 1,415 Banks companies, Standard Bank Malawi ranks better than 69.33% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Standard Bank Malawi's forward rate of return for was 21.26%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MSW:STANDARD' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 20.48   Med: 21.57   Max: 22.41
Current: 21.34

During the past 8 years, Standard Bank Malawi's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.41. The lowest was 20.48. And the median was 21.57.

MSW:STANDARD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
69.33% of 1415 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.26 vs MSW:STANDARD: 21.34

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Standard Bank Malawi  (MSW:STANDARD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Standard Bank Malawi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Standard Bank Malawi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Standard Bank Malawi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Standard Bank Malawi Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 22.15 22.41 21.26

Standard Bank Malawi Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.15 0.00 22.41 0.00 21.26

MSW:STANDARD vs PNC, USB: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Standard Bank Malawi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


MSW:STANDARD
81GF Score
Standard Bank Malawi PLC MSW:STANDARD
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Standard Bank Malawi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=53.4855/4248.41+0.2
=21.26 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 21.26% mean?
Standard Bank Malawi (MSW:STANDARD) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 21.26% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Standard Bank Malawi and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 21.57. Over the past decade, Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.48 to 22.41. According to the industry distribution chart, Standard Bank Malawi ranks #434 out of 1415 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 30.7%.
Is Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Standard Bank Malawi's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 21.26% is near median its 10-year median of 21.57. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 20.48 to a high of 22.41. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26. Standard Bank Malawi's value of 21.26% is 39.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Standard Bank Malawi ranks #434 out of 1415 companies in the Banks industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Standard Bank Malawi has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Standard Bank Malawi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to PNC and USB?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Standard Bank Malawi ranks #434 out of 1415 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Standard Bank Malawi in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26. Standard Bank Malawi's value of 21.26% is 39.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Standard Bank Malawi's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.48 to 22.41 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 21.57 vs. the industry median of 15.26, Standard Bank Malawi has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.26, based on 1,415 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Standard Bank Malawi's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 21.26% is 39.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Standard Bank Malawi and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Standard Bank Malawi's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 21.26%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 21.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Standard Bank Malawi stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Standard Bank Malawi (MSW:STANDARD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MWK1,958.69, compared to a current price of MWK3,995.75 — trading 104% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 21.26%, which is near median its 10-year median of 21.57 and 39.3% above the Banks industry median of 15.26. Standard Bank Malawi's overall GF Score™ is 81/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Standard Bank Malawi (MSW:STANDARD), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 21.26% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Standard Bank Malawi (MSW:STANDARD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Standard Bank Malawi stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MWK3,995.75 is trading 104% above its estimated GF Value™ of MWK1,958.69. GuruFocus considers Standard Bank Malawi to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MSW:STANDARD:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 21.26% (near median its 10-year median of 21.57)
  • GF Value™: MWK1,958.69 vs. price of MWK3,995.75 (104% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100
  • Industry Position: 39.3% above the Banks median (#434 of 1415)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MSW:STANDARD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Standard Bank Malawi Business Description

Address Africa Unity Avenue, P O Box 30380, Standard Bank Centre, Lilongwe, MWI, 3
Standard Bank Malawi PLC provides banking services. Its business operations are divided into three segments Corporate and Investment Banking, Personal and Private Banking, Business and Commercial Banking, and Treasury and Capital Management. Services offered by the company include current accounts, savings, deposits, investment savings products, custody, debit cards, consumer loans, mortgages, internet banking, telephone banking, foreign exchange, commodities, debt securities, and equities trading, among others. Its branches are located across Malawi. The Bank offers its services to individual customers and small to medium-sized enterprises.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MSW:STANDARD

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MWK3,995.75
Price
MWK1,958.69
GF Value