GCBC (Greene County Bancorp) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $33.03 (As of Sep. 04, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc GCBC
66 GF Score
Price $35.65
GF Value $32.52
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Greene County Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Greene County Bancorp GCBC +2.00% 66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.03 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates GCBC with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of $32.52 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,301 Banks companies, Greene County Bancorp ranks worse than 84.55% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-04), Greene County Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.03. The stock price of Greene County Bancorp is $35.65. Therefore, Greene County Bancorp's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greene County Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GCBC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 0.81   Max: 1.31
Current: 1.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Greene County Bancorp was 1.31. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 0.81.

GCBC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
84.55% of 1301 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.6 vs GCBC: 1.08

Greene County Bancorp  (NAS:GCBC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Greene County Bancorp's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.65/33.054785790405
=1.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Greene County Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Greene County Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Greene County Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Greene County Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Greene County Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.83 30.69 29.90 30.81 0.00

Greene County Bancorp Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.81 31.28 31.83 33.03 0.00

GCBC vs UNTY, SFST, BWB: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Greene County Bancorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greene County Bancorp Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Greene County Bancorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greene County Bancorp's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


GCBC
66GF Score
Greene County Bancorp Inc GCBC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Greene County Bancorp Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Greene County Bancorp's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $27.19.

Greene County Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.522615765129*27.19024+277.831*0.8)/17.025
=33.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $33.03 mean?
Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $33.03 as of Sep. 04, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Greene County Bancorp and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Greene County Bancorp ranks #1100 out of 1301 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 84.6%.
Is Greene County Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Greene County Bancorp's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.03. The Banks industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. Greene County Bancorp's value of $33.03 is 5405% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Greene County Bancorp ranks #1100 out of 1301 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Greene County Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Greene County Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to UNTY and SFST?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Greene County Bancorp ranks #1100 out of 1301 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Greene County Bancorp in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. Greene County Bancorp's value of $33.03 is 5405% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.60, based on 1,301 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Greene County Bancorp's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $33.03 is 5405% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Greene County Bancorp and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Greene County Bancorp's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Greene County Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $32.52, compared to a current price of $35.65 — trading 9.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.03 and 5405% above the Banks industry median of 0.60. Greene County Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Greene County Bancorp (GCBC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.03 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Greene County Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $35.65 is trading 9.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $32.52. GuruFocus considers Greene County Bancorp to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for GCBC:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $33.03
  • GF Value™: $32.52 vs. price of $35.65 (9.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 9 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 5405% above the Banks median (#1100 of 1301)

No single metric tells the full story. See the GCBC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Greene County Bancorp Business Description

Address 302 Main Street, Catskill, NY, USA, 12414
Greene County Bancorp Inc is a holding firm. Its primary business involves overseeing and directing the business of The Bank of Greene County and monitoring its cash position. Through its directly and indirectly owned subsidiaries, the company engages in attracting retail deposits, along with funds generated from operations and borrowings, predominantly in one to four-family residential mortgage loans, commercial real estate mortgage loans, consumer loans, home equity loans, and commercial business loans. It also serves local municipalities' banking needs and operates a real estate investment trust.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GCBC

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$35.65
Price
$32.52
GF Value