PAGS (PagSeguro Digital) Beneish M-Score: -2.64 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd PAGS
90 GF Score
Price $8.77
GF Value $11.93
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is PagSeguro Digital Beneish M-Score?

PagSeguro Digital PAGS +0.11% 90 Beneish M-Score is -2.64 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates PAGS with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.93 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,633 Software companies, PagSeguro Digital ranks better than 57.12% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.64 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PAGS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.67   Med: -2.19   Max: -0.43
Current: -2.64

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PagSeguro Digital was -0.43. The lowest was -2.67. And the median was -2.19.


PagSeguro Digital Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PagSeguro Digital Beneish M-Score Chart

PagSeguro Digital Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.20 -2.19 -2.37 -2.01 -2.67

PagSeguro Digital Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.84 -2.37 -2.52 -2.67 -2.64

PAGS vs CALX, EEFT, STNE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PagSeguro Digital Beneish M-Score vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score falls into.


PAGS
90GF Score
PagSeguro Digital Ltd PAGS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PagSeguro Digital Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PagSeguro Digital for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.013+0.528 * 0.9366+0.404 * 1.0869+0.892 * 1.121+0.115 * 0.9486
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8018+4.679 * -0.062089-0.327 * 1.0461
=-2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $10,804 Mil.
Revenue was 957.217 + 989.2 + 951.969 + 912.072 = $3,810 Mil.
Gross Profit was 513.673 + 525.562 + 505.263 + 477.371 = $2,022 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,519 Mil.
Total Assets was $14,376 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $490 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $339 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $444 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,782 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,150 Mil.
Net Income was 104.315 + 92.018 + 103.391 + 96.787 = $397 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -9.209 + -21.579 + -8.308 + -13.092 = $-52 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 177.832 + 353.347 + 407.021 + 403.113 = $1,341 Mil.
Total Receivables was $9,514 Mil.
Revenue was 842.319 + 838.387 + 872.457 + 846.012 = $3,399 Mil.
Gross Profit was 432.431 + 414.686 + 429.072 + 413.017 = $1,689 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $10,494 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,007 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $462 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $293 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $494 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $6,885 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,843 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10804.309 / 3810.458) / (9514.427 / 3399.175)
=2.835436 / 2.79904
=1.013

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1689.206 / 3399.175) / (2021.869 / 3810.458)
=0.496946 / 0.53061
=0.9366

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12518.876 + 489.653) / 14376.311) / (1 - (10494.211 + 461.82) / 12007.059)
=0.095141 / 0.087534
=1.0869

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3810.458 / 3399.175
=1.121

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(293.112 / (293.112 + 461.82)) / (339.265 / (339.265 + 489.653))
=0.388263 / 0.409287
=0.9486

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(444.174 / 3810.458) / (494.179 / 3399.175)
=0.116567 / 0.145382
=0.8018

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2149.683 + 8782.466) / 14376.311) / ((1842.965 + 6885.434) / 12007.059)
=0.760428 / 0.726939
=1.0461

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(396.511 - -52.188 - 1341.313) / 14376.311
=-0.062089

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PagSeguro Digital has a M-score of -2.64 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.64 mean?
PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.64 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PagSeguro Digital and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PagSeguro Digital ranks #1129 out of 2633 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 42.9%.
Is PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score too high?
PagSeguro Digital's current Beneish M-Score is -2.64. Based on the distribution chart, PagSeguro Digital ranks #1129 out of 2633 companies in the Software industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, PagSeguro Digital has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PagSeguro Digital's Beneish M-Score compare to CALX and EEFT?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, PagSeguro Digital ranks #1129 out of 2633 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts PagSeguro Digital in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Software company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Software industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PagSeguro Digital and its competitors. PagSeguro Digital's current Beneish M-Score is -2.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PagSeguro Digital stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.93, compared to a current price of $8.77 — trading 26.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.64. PagSeguro Digital's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PagSeguro Digital (PAGS), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.64 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PagSeguro Digital stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $8.77 is trading 26.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $11.93. GuruFocus considers PagSeguro Digital to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for PAGS:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.64
  • GF Value™: $11.93 vs. price of $8.77 (26.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PAGS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PagSeguro Digital Business Description

Other Exchanges 1JY:GermanyPAGS34:Brazil
Address Cricket Square, Hutchins Drive, P.O. Box 2681, Grand Cayman, CYM, KY1-1111
PagSeguro Digital Ltd is a Brazilian-based company that acts as a provider of financial technology solutions focused on Micro-Merchants, Small Companies and Medium-Sized Companies (SMEs), in Brazil. The company provides a range of solutions and tools such as cash-in and cash-out options and provides access to working capital to help to manage its cash flow. It delivers an end-to-end digital ecosystem to address day-to-day financial needs, including receiving and spending funds and managing and growing businesses for clients. The company also offers the Free PagSeguro Digital Account delivering Cash-In Solutions, Online and In-Person Payment Tools, Online Payment Tools; and Web Check Outs offer tokenization, handling of shipping information, and others.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PAGS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$8.77
Price
$11.93
GF Value