ZFSVF (Zurich Insurance Group AG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 13.89% (As of Dec. 2025) — 126% Above Median

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ZFSVF Zurich Insurance Group AG ZFSVF
84 GF Score
Price $717.81
GF Value $764.66
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Zurich Insurance Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Zurich Insurance Group AG ZFSVF -6.31% 84 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.89% as of Dec. 2025, which is 126% above its 10-year median of 6.15. GuruFocus rates ZFSVF with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $764.66 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 282 Insurance companies, Zurich Insurance Group AG ranks worse than 56.74% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Zurich Insurance Group AG's forward rate of return for was 13.89%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ZFSVF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.36   Med: 6.15   Max: 13.96
Current: 13.96

During the past 13 years, Zurich Insurance Group AG's highest Forward Rate of Return was 13.96. The lowest was 3.36. And the median was 6.15.

ZFSVF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
56.74% of 282 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 16.885 vs ZFSVF: 13.96

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Zurich Insurance Group AG  (OTCPK:ZFSVF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Zurich Insurance Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Zurich Insurance Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Zurich Insurance Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Zurich Insurance Group AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.44 6.34 6.52 9.45 13.89

Zurich Insurance Group AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 9.45 0.00 13.89 0.00

ZFSVF vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zurich Insurance Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ZFSVF
84GF Score
Zurich Insurance Group AG ZFSVF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Zurich Insurance Group AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=36.111/762+0.1088
=15.62 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.89% mean?
Zurich Insurance Group AG (ZFSVF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.89% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Zurich Insurance Group AG and its competitors. This is 126% above median its historical median of 6.15. Over the past decade, Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.36 to 13.96. According to the industry distribution chart, Zurich Insurance Group AG ranks #160 out of 282 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 56.7%.
Is Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Zurich Insurance Group AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.89% is 126% above median its 10-year median of 6.15. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.36 to a high of 13.96. The Insurance industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.89. Zurich Insurance Group AG's value of 13.89% is 17.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Zurich Insurance Group AG ranks #160 out of 282 companies in the Insurance industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Zurich Insurance Group AG has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Zurich Insurance Group AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BRK.A and AIG?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, Zurich Insurance Group AG ranks #160 out of 282 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Zurich Insurance Group AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.89. Zurich Insurance Group AG's value of 13.89% is 17.7% below this benchmark. Historically, Zurich Insurance Group AG's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 3.36 to 13.96 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 6.15 vs. the industry median of 16.89, Zurich Insurance Group AG has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Insurance company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Insurance companies is 16.89, based on 282 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Zurich Insurance Group AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.89% is 17.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Zurich Insurance Group AG and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.89 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Zurich Insurance Group AG's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.89%, which is 126% above median its own 10-year median of 6.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Zurich Insurance Group AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Zurich Insurance Group AG (ZFSVF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $764.66, compared to a current price of $717.81 — trading 6.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.89%, which is 126% above median its 10-year median of 6.15 and 17.7% below the Insurance industry median of 16.89. Zurich Insurance Group AG's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Zurich Insurance Group AG (ZFSVF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.89% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Zurich Insurance Group AG (ZFSVF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Zurich Insurance Group AG stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $717.81 is trading 6.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $764.66. GuruFocus considers Zurich Insurance Group AG to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ZFSVF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 13.89% (126% above median its 10-year median of 6.15)
  • GF Value™: $764.66 vs. price of $717.81 (6.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 17.7% below the Insurance median (#160 of 282)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ZFSVF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Zurich Insurance Group AG Business Description

Address Mythenquai 2, Corporate Center, Zurich, CHE, 8002
Zurich is a multiline insurer that writes business across both life and nonlife insurance and also owns Farmers Management Services. Zurich was founded in 1872 as a marine reinsurer to provide reinsurance to its parent company. The company subsequently expanded into transport and accident insurance and rode the wave of transport technology innovation that drove rising demand for insurance. One of Zurich's early principles was that setting prices too low would result in unfair claims handling, which would be damaging to both customers and Zurich. Over the years, Zurich has sought to combine customer goodwill through claims and a sufficient premium. Zurich is one of the most successful European multilines.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ZFSVF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$717.81
Price
$764.66
GF Value