Standard Chartered Bank Ghana (XGHA:SCB) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


XGHA:SCB Standard Chartered Bank Ghana PLC XGHA:SCB
71 GF Score
Price GHS71.00
GF Value GHS34.23
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Standard Chartered Bank Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Standard Chartered Bank Ghana XGHA:SCB 71 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates XGHA:SCB with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of GHS34.23 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Standard Chartered Bank Ghana  (XGHA:SCB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Standard Chartered Bank Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XGHA:SCB vs PNC: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Standard Chartered Bank Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XGHA:SCB
71GF Score
Standard Chartered Bank Ghana PLC XGHA:SCB
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Standard Chartered Bank Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Standard Chartered Bank Ghana (XGHA:SCB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 29, 2026.
Is Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Standard Chartered Bank Ghana has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to PNC?
Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Standard Chartered Bank Ghana stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Standard Chartered Bank Ghana (XGHA:SCB) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is GHS34.23, compared to a current price of GHS71.00 — trading 107.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Standard Chartered Bank Ghana's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Standard Chartered Bank Ghana (XGHA:SCB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Standard Chartered Bank Ghana (XGHA:SCB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Standard Chartered Bank Ghana stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of GHS71.00 is trading 107.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of GHS34.23. GuruFocus considers Standard Chartered Bank Ghana to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XGHA:SCB:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: GHS34.23 vs. price of GHS71.00 (107.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the XGHA:SCB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Standard Chartered Bank Ghana Business Description

Address 87 Independence Avenue, P.O. Box 768, Standard Chartered Bank Building, Accra, GHA
Standard Chartered Bank Ghana PLC is a banking corporation registered in Ghana. It provides various banking services including personal banking, private banking, and business banking. The company manages its business into three segments namely, Corporate & Investment Banking, Wealth & Retail Banking, Ventures and Central & Other Items. The company's services include savings, loans, mortgages, credit cards, insurance, and investment opportunities for individual customers. It focuses on offering financial solutions to small-medium enterprises, corporates, and financial institutions. Geographically, it operates in Hong Kong, Korea, China, Singapore, UK, and U.S.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XGHA:SCB

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

GHS71.00
Price
GHS34.23
GF Value