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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Community Financial System's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Community Financial System was -2.09. The lowest was -11.62. And the median was -2.40.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Community Financial System for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9693 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0005 | + | 0.892 * 1.117 | + | 0.115 * 1.0318 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.9626 | + | 4.679 * -0.003344 | - | 0.327 * 1.8679 | |||||||
= | -2.69 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $50.8 Mil. Revenue was 188.942 + 183.799 + 177.275 + 176.959 = $727.0 Mil. Gross Profit was 188.942 + 183.799 + 177.275 + 176.959 = $727.0 Mil. Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil. Total Assets was $16,404.7 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $178.4 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $28.4 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $311.3 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $631.0 Mil. Net Income was 43.901 + 47.915 + 40.872 + 33.706 = $166.4 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 56.858 + 39.787 + 79.893 + 44.706 = $221.2 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $46.9 Mil. Revenue was 175.372 + 175.263 + 124.283 + 175.929 = $650.8 Mil. Gross Profit was 175.372 + 175.263 + 124.283 + 175.929 = $650.8 Mil. Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil. Total Assets was $15,386.3 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $174.7 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $28.9 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $289.5 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $316.8 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (50.815 / 726.975) | / | (46.933 / 650.847) | |
= | 0.069899 | / | 0.072111 | |
= | 0.9693 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (650.847 / 650.847) | / | (726.975 / 726.975) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (0 + 178.429) / 16404.7) | / | (1 - (0 + 174.749) / 15386.322) | |
= | 0.989123 | / | 0.988643 | |
= | 1.0005 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 726.975 | / | 650.847 | |
= | 1.117 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (28.879 / (28.879 + 174.749)) | / | (28.434 / (28.434 + 178.429)) | |
= | 0.141822 | / | 0.137453 | |
= | 1.0318 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (311.311 / 726.975) | / | (289.527 / 650.847) | |
= | 0.428228 | / | 0.444846 | |
= | 0.9626 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((630.97 + 0) / 16404.7) | / | ((316.837 + 0) / 15386.322) | |
= | 0.038463 | / | 0.020592 | |
= | 1.8679 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (166.394 - 0 | - | 221.244) | / | 16404.7 | |
= | -0.003344 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Community Financial System has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Community Financial System's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
John F. Whipple | director | 1692 GOODRICH AVENUE, OLEAN NY 14760 |
Mark J. Bolus | director | R.R. 1, BOX 412A, DALTON PA 18414 |
Kerrie D. Macpherson | director | 5790 WIDEWATERS PARKWAY, C/O COMMUNITY BANK SYSTEM INC., DEWITT NY 13214 |
Dimitar Karaivanov | officer: EVP Financial Serv & Corp Dev | C/O COMMUNITY BANK SYSTEM, INC., 5790 WIDEWATERS PARKWAY, DEWITT NY 13214 |
Sally A Steele | director | |
Jeffrey M Levy | officer: President, Commercial Banking | 52 SOUTH BROAD STREET, NORWICH NY 13815 |
Brian R Ace | director | |
Michael N Abdo | officer: EVP and General Counsel | 5790 WIDEWATERS PARKWAY, DEWITT NY 13214 |
Jeffrey J Knauss | director | 2438 EAST LAKE ROAD, SKANEATELES NY 13152 |
George J Getman | officer: Executive VP & General Counsel | 7856 CAHILL ROAD, MANLIUS NY 13104 |
Maureen A Gillan-myer | officer: EVP, Chief Human Resources Off | C/O HSBC NORTH AMERICA, 452 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10018 |
John Parente | director | 478 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, TUNKHANNOCK PA 18657 |
Joseph Jonathon Lemchak | officer: SVP, Chief Investment Officer | 4482 YOUNG ROAD, SYRACUSE NY 13215 |
Eric Stickels | director | 182 MAIN STREET, ONEIDA NY 13421 |
Susan E Skerritt | director | 3200 NORTHLINE AVE, SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408 |
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