Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
United Fire Group (NAS:UFCS) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
United Fire Group Volatility Related Terms
UFCS vs PRCH, HGTY, PRA: Volatility Comparison
For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, United Fire Group's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
United Fire Group Volatility vs Insurance Industry
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, United Fire Group's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where United Fire Group's Volatility falls into.
United Fire Group (NAS:UFCS) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
United Fire Group (UFCS) has a Volatility of 29.31% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on United Fire Group and its competitors.
Is United Fire Group's Volatility too high?
United Fire Group's current Volatility is 29.31%. Overall, United Fire Group has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does United Fire Group's Volatility compare to PRCH and HGTY?
United Fire Group's Volatility of 29.31% can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for an Insurance company?
A good Volatility depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on United Fire Group and its competitors. United Fire Group's current Volatility is 29.31%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is United Fire Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Fire Group (UFCS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $31.56, compared to a current price of $51.49 — trading 63.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 29.31%. United Fire Group's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For United Fire Group (UFCS), the current Volatility is 29.31% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is United Fire Group (UFCS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Fire Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $51.49 is trading 63.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $31.56.
GuruFocus considers United Fire Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for UFCS:
Volatility: 29.31%
GF Value™: $31.56 vs. price of $51.49 (63.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the UFCS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
United Fire Group Inc is engaged in the business of writing property and casualty insurance and selling annuities through a network of independent agencies. The company's only operating segment is property and casualty insurance, which includes commercial lines insurance, personal lines insurance, and assumed reinsurance. The primary source of revenue is premium and investment income.
60GF Score
Get the complete analysis for UFCS
Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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