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CPSS (Consumer Portfolio Services) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-128.62 (As of Sep24)


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What is Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Consumer Portfolio Services's earnings power value is $-128.62. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Consumer Portfolio Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -95.72 -79.93 -71.74 -103.52 -103.28

Consumer Portfolio Services Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -101.26 -103.28 -107.48 -121.13 -128.58

Competitive Comparison of Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Consumer Portfolio Services's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 203.5
DDA 1.4
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 36.3
Tax Rate % 18.59
Maintenance Capex 1.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 8.1
Short-Term Debt 105.8
Long-Term Debt 2,999.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 24.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $203.5 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 36.3,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 203.5 * 0.00% +36.3 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 18.59%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 18.59% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.4 * 0.5 * 18.59% = $0.127573434 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.127573434 = $0.127573434 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Consumer Portfolio Services's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Consumer Portfolio Services's current cash and cash equivalent = $8.1 Mil.
Consumer Portfolio Services's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2,999.2 + 105.8 = $3104.975 Mil.
Consumer Portfolio Services's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 24.2 Mil.

Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.127573434 - 1.0)/ 9%+8.1-3104.975 )/24.2
=-128.62

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -128.61567073149-10.84 )/-128.61567073149
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Consumer Portfolio Services  (NAS:CPSS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Consumer Portfolio Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Consumer Portfolio Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Consumer Portfolio Services Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3800 Howard Hughes Parkway, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89169
Consumer Portfolio Services Inc is a U.S.-based company operating in the specialty finance sector. Its business is to purchase and service retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and, to a lesser extent, by select independent dealers in the United States in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans. Through its automobile contract purchases, the company provides indirect financing to the customers of dealers having limited credit histories, low incomes, or past credit problems, who it refers to as sub-prime customers. It serves as an alternative source of financing for dealers, facilitating sales to customers.
Executives
William B Roberts director 126 EAST 56TH STREET, TOWER 56 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
April Crisp officer: Sr. Vice President 19500 JAMBOREE RD, STE 600, IRVINE CA 92610
Daniel S Wood director
Chris Terry officer: Sr. Vice President
Greg Washer director 3187 PULLMAN STREET, COSTA MESA CA 92618
Denesh Bharwani officer: Sr. Vice President 19500 JAMBOREE ROAD, IRVINE CA 92612
John Patrick Harton officer: Sr. Vice President 19500 JAMBOREE ROAD, IRVINE CA 92612
Bradley Charles E Jr director, officer: CEO and President 2 ADA, IRVINE CA 92618
Susan Ryan officer: Sr. Vice President 3800 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Charles E. Gonel officer: Sr. Vice President 3800 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, LAS VEGAS NV 86169
Michele L Baumeister officer: Sr. Vice President 19500 JAMBOREE RD, SUITE 600, IRVINE CA 92612
Lisette Reynoso officer: Sr. Vice President 19500 JAMBOREE RD., IRVINE CA 92612
Steven Howard Schween officer: Sr. Vice President 3800 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, LAS VEGAS CA 89169
Catrina Marie Ralston officer: Sr. Vice President 3800 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Jeffrey P Fritz officer: SVP & CFO 16355 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, IRVINE CA 92618