SWPFF (Swire Properties) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $5.17 (As of Jul. 30, 2026) — 1049% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SWPFF Swire Properties Ltd SWPFF
70 GF Score
Price $2.75
GF Value $2.30
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Swire Properties Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Swire Properties SWPFF 70 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.17 as of Jul. 30, 2026, which is 1049% above its 10-year median of 0.45. GuruFocus rates SWPFF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.30 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,275 Real Estate companies, Swire Properties ranks better than 56.47% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-30), Swire Properties's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.17. The stock price of Swire Properties is $2.75. Therefore, Swire Properties's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Swire Properties's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SWPFF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 0.45   Max: 0.53
Current: 0.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Swire Properties was 0.53. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.45.

SWPFF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
56.47% of 1275 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.62 vs SWPFF: 0.53

Swire Properties  (OTCPK:SWPFF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Swire Properties's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.75/5.8554681881735
=0.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Swire Properties Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Swire Properties Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Swire Properties's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Swire Properties Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Swire Properties Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.19 5.09 6.04 5.85 5.76

Swire Properties Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.04 0.00 5.85 0.00 5.76

SWPFF vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Swire Properties's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Swire Properties Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Swire Properties's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Swire Properties's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


SWPFF
70GF Score
Swire Properties Ltd SWPFF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Swire Properties Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Swire Properties's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $637.95.

Swire Properties's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*637.94614285714+34631.4*0.8)/5768.726
=5.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.17 mean?
Swire Properties (SWPFF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.17 as of Jul. 30, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Swire Properties and its competitors. This is 1049% above median its historical median of 0.45. Over the past decade, Swire Properties' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.32 to 0.53. According to the industry distribution chart, Swire Properties ranks #555 out of 1275 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 43.5%.
Is Swire Properties' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Swire Properties' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.17 is 1049% above median its 10-year median of 0.45. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.32 to a high of 0.53. The Real Estate industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.62. Swire Properties' value of $5.17 is 733.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Swire Properties ranks #555 out of 1275 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Swire Properties has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Swire Properties' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Swire Properties ranks #555 out of 1275 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Swire Properties in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.62. Swire Properties' value of $5.17 is 733.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Swire Properties' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.32 to 0.53 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.45 vs. the industry median of 0.62, Swire Properties has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Real Estate company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Real Estate companies is 0.62, based on 1,275 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Swire Properties's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.17 is 733.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Swire Properties and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.62 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Swire Properties's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.17, which is 1049% above median its own 10-year median of 0.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Swire Properties stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swire Properties (SWPFF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.30, compared to a current price of $2.75 — trading 19.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.17, which is 1049% above median its 10-year median of 0.45 and 733.9% above the Real Estate industry median of 0.62. Swire Properties' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Swire Properties (SWPFF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.17 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Swire Properties (SWPFF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swire Properties stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $2.75 is trading 19.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $2.30. GuruFocus considers Swire Properties to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SWPFF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $5.17 (1049% above median its 10-year median of 0.45)
  • GF Value™: $2.30 vs. price of $2.75 (19.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 733.9% above the Real Estate median (#555 of 1275)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SWPFF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Swire Properties Business Description

Other Exchanges 01972:Hong KongSW9:Germany
Address 88 Queensway, 31st Floor, One Pacific Place, Hong Kong, HKG
Swire Properties is a Hong Kong-based property investor and Hong Kong's largest office landlord. Its Hong Kong portfolio provides more than 13 million square feet of gross floor area, with its portfolio of grade A office contributing over 9 million square feet. The firm also holds investment properties and development projects in China, the United States, and Southeast Asia. Rental income accounts for more than 60% of its total revenue, with property development and hotel operations contributing the balance. The company was listed in 2012. Parent company Swire Pacific holds an 83% stake.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SWPFF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.75
Price
$2.30
GF Value