Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
PayPal HoldingsCHIX:2PPD 91 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.25% as of Jun. 2026, which is 24% above its 10-year median of 20.38. GuruFocus rates CHIX:2PPD with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of €53.80. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 397 Credit Services companies, PayPal Holdings ranks better than 82.62% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PayPal Holdings's forward rate of return for was 25.25%.
The historical rank and industry rank for PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:2PPd'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.03 Med: 20.38 Max: 24.85
Current: 22.1
During the past 13 years, PayPal Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.85. The lowest was 15.03. And the median was 20.38.
CHIX:2PPd's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 82.62% of 397
companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 4.71
vs CHIX:2PPd: 22.10
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPd) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
CHIX:2PPD vs SYF, AFRM, SOFI: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Credit Services subindustry, PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Credit Services Industry
For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PayPal Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
PayPal Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.25% mean?
PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.25% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PayPal Holdings and its competitors. This is 24% above median its historical median of 20.38. Over the past decade, PayPal Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.03 to 24.85. According to the industry distribution chart, PayPal Holdings ranks #69 out of 397 companies in the Credit Services industry, placing it in the top 17.4%.
Is PayPal Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
PayPal Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.25% is 24% above median its 10-year median of 20.38. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 15.03 to a high of 24.85. The Credit Services industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.71. PayPal Holdings' value of 25.25% is 436.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, PayPal Holdings ranks #69 out of 397 companies in the Credit Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PayPal Holdings has a GF Score™ of 91/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PayPal Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SYF and AFRM?
According to the Credit Services industry distribution chart, PayPal Holdings ranks #69 out of 397 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places PayPal Holdings in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.71. PayPal Holdings' value of 25.25% is 436.1% above this benchmark. Historically, PayPal Holdings' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.03 to 24.85 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 20.38 vs. the industry median of 4.71, PayPal Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Credit Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Credit Services companies is 4.71, based on 397 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. PayPal Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.25% is 436.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PayPal Holdings and its competitors. For the Credit Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.71 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PayPal Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.25%, which is 24% above median its own 10-year median of 20.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PayPal Holdings stock overvalued right now?
PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.25%. The stock's GF Value™ is €53.80, compared to a current price of €38.20 — trading 29% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.25%, which is 24% above median its 10-year median of 20.38 and 436.1% above the Credit Services industry median of 4.71. PayPal Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.25% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PayPal Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of €38.20 is trading 29% below its estimated GF Value™ of €53.80.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:2PPD:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 25.25% (24% above median its 10-year median of 20.38)
GF Value™: €53.80 vs. price of €38.20 (29% below fair value)
Industry Position: 436.1% above the Credit Services median (#69 of 397)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:2PPD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 439 million active accounts at the end of 2025. The company also owns Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.
91GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CHIX:2PPD
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
CHIX:2PPD has been successfully added to your 
