PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €107.84 (As of Sep. 02, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:2PPD PayPal Holdings Inc CHIX:2PPD
82 GF Score
Price €52.36
GF Value €83.88
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

PayPal Holdings CHIX:2PPD 82 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €107.84 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:2PPD with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of €83.88 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 307 Credit Services companies, PayPal Holdings ranks better than 59.28% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-02), PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €107.84. The stock price of PayPal Holdings is €52.355. Therefore, PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:2PPd' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.4   Med: 1.1   Max: 5.04
Current: 0.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PayPal Holdings was 5.04. The lowest was 0.40. And the median was 1.10.

CHIX:2PPd's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.28% of 307 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 0.73 vs CHIX:2PPd: 0.49

PayPal Holdings  (CHIX:2PPd) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=52.355/96.274628650048
=0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PayPal Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 70.27 85.31 86.18

PayPal Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 77.26 80.29 86.18 90.56 95.48

CHIX:2PPD vs AFRM, SYF, SOFI: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PayPal Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


CHIX:2PPD
82GF Score
PayPal Holdings Inc CHIX:2PPD
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PayPal Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €4,787.25.

PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*4787.24848+17203.76*0.8)/882.000
=96.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €107.84 mean?
PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €107.84 as of Sep. 02, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on PayPal Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PayPal Holdings ranks #125 out of 307 companies in the Credit Services industry, placing it in the top 40.7%.
Is PayPal Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
PayPal Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €107.84. Based on the distribution chart, PayPal Holdings ranks #125 out of 307 companies in the Credit Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, PayPal Holdings has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PayPal Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to AFRM and SYF?
According to the Credit Services industry distribution chart, PayPal Holdings ranks #125 out of 307 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts PayPal Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.73. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Credit Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Credit Services companies is 0.73, based on 307 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on PayPal Holdings and its competitors. For the Credit Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PayPal Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €107.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PayPal Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €83.88, compared to a current price of €52.36 — trading 37.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €107.84. PayPal Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €107.84 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PayPal Holdings (CHIX:2PPD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PayPal Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €52.36 is trading 37.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of €83.88. GuruFocus considers PayPal Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:2PPD:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €107.84
  • GF Value™: €83.88 vs. price of €52.36 (37.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:2PPD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PayPal Holdings Business Description

Address 2211 North First Street, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 439 million active accounts at the end of 2025. The company also owns Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:2PPD

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€52.36
Price
€83.88
GF Value