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Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $129.70 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-16), Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $129.70. The stock price of Fair Isaac is $489.79. Therefore, Fair Isaac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FICO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28   Med: 1.91   Max: 4.97
Current: 3.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fair Isaac was 4.97. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 1.91.

FICO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
79.72% of 1208 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.67 vs FICO: 3.78

Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fair Isaac Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 67.96 71.84 90.56 116.71 131.45

Fair Isaac Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 132.13 131.45 122.90 128.76 129.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fair Isaac's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $297.00.

Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*297.00432+-847.472/0.8)/25.867
=129.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fair Isaac  (NYSE:FICO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fair Isaac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=489.79/129.69931727195
=3.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fair Isaac Business Description

Fair Isaac logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5 West Mendenhall, Suite 105, Bozeman, MT, USA, 59715
Fair Isaac Corp is an applied analytics company. The firm operates in two segments: Software segment that includes pre-configured analytic and decision management solutions designed for a specific type of business need or process - such as account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, and marketing - as well as associated professional services. Scores segment includes business-to-business scoring solutions and services which give clients access to predictive credit and other scores.
Executives
Covert Stephanie officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DR. SAN JOSE CA 95110
Bowers Thomas A. officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DR. #600 SAN JOSE CA 95110
Arredondo Fabiola R director ONE CAMPBELL PLACE CAMDEN NJ 08103
Moldt Claus officer: Executive Vice President & CTO 181 METRO DR. #600 SAN JOSE CA 95110
Mclaughlin Michael I. officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 181 METRO DR. SUITE 600 SAN JOSE CA 95110
Manolis Eva director C/O SHUTTERFLY, INC. 2800 BRIDGE PARKWAY REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Begor Mark W director 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Mcmorris Marc F director 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Rees Joanna director LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC. 6401 HOLLIS STREET SUITE 100 EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Huyard Wayne Elliot officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Gianforte Greg R director C/O FAIR ISAAC CORPORATION 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Kelly Braden R director 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Gordon Michael J officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Wells Stuart officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110
Wehmann James M officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95110

Fair Isaac Headlines

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