TBCRF (Timbercreek Financial) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 7.77% (As of Jun. 2026) — 26% Below Median

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TBCRF Timbercreek Financial Corp TBCRF
69 GF Score
Price $4.48
GF Value $4.59
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 12 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Timbercreek Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Timbercreek Financial TBCRF -0.44% 69 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.77% as of Jun. 2026, which is 26% below its 10-year median of 10.44. GuruFocus rates TBCRF with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $4.59 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 12 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,419 Banks companies, Timbercreek Financial ranks worse than 78.58% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Timbercreek Financial's forward rate of return for was 7.77%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TBCRF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.03   Med: 10.44   Max: 28.48
Current: 8.25

During the past 13 years, Timbercreek Financial's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.48. The lowest was 1.03. And the median was 10.44.

TBCRF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
78.58% of 1419 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.42 vs TBCRF: 8.25

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Timbercreek Financial  (OTCPK:TBCRF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Timbercreek Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Timbercreek Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Timbercreek Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Timbercreek Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.52 8.69 21.63 18.94 10.69

Timbercreek Financial Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.62 17.51 10.69 7.67 7.77

TBCRF vs RKT, FNMA, PFSI: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Timbercreek Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


TBCRF
69GF Score
Timbercreek Financial Corp TBCRF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Timbercreek Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.51695238/4.612+-0.0483
=6.38 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 7.77% mean?
Timbercreek Financial (TBCRF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 7.77% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Timbercreek Financial and its competitors. This is 26% below median its historical median of 10.44. Over the past decade, Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.03 to 28.48. According to the industry distribution chart, Timbercreek Financial ranks #1115 out of 1419 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 78.6%.
Is Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Timbercreek Financial's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 7.77% is 26% below median its 10-year median of 10.44. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.03 to a high of 28.48. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.42. Timbercreek Financial's value of 7.77% is 49.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Timbercreek Financial ranks #1115 out of 1419 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Timbercreek Financial has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Timbercreek Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to RKT and FNMA?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Timbercreek Financial ranks #1115 out of 1419 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Timbercreek Financial in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.42. Timbercreek Financial's value of 7.77% is 49.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Timbercreek Financial's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.03 to 28.48 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 10.44 vs. the industry median of 15.42, Timbercreek Financial has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.42, based on 1,419 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Timbercreek Financial's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 7.77% is 49.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Timbercreek Financial and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.42 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Timbercreek Financial's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.77%, which is 26% below median its own 10-year median of 10.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Timbercreek Financial stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Timbercreek Financial (TBCRF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $4.59, compared to a current price of $4.48 — trading 2.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.77%, which is 26% below median its 10-year median of 10.44 and 49.6% below the Banks industry median of 15.42. Timbercreek Financial's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 12 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Timbercreek Financial (TBCRF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.77% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Timbercreek Financial (TBCRF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Timbercreek Financial stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $4.48 is trading 2.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $4.59. GuruFocus considers Timbercreek Financial to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TBCRF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 7.77% (26% below median its 10-year median of 10.44)
  • GF Value™: $4.59 vs. price of $4.48 (2.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 12 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 49.6% below the Banks median (#1115 of 1419)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TBCRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Timbercreek Financial Business Description

Other Exchanges 58O:GermanyTF:Canada
Address 25 Price Street, Toronto, ON, CAN, M4W 1Z1
Timbercreek Financial Corp is a mortgage investment corporation domiciled in Canada. The investment objective of the company is to secure and grow a diversified portfolio of high-quality mortgage and other loan investments, generating an attractive risk adjusted return and monthly dividend payments to shareholders, balanced by a focus on capital preservation. The company is focused on providing financing solutions to qualified real estate investors who require funding and who are generally in a transitional phase of the investment process (such as redevelopment of a property).
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TBCRF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.48
Price
$4.59
GF Value