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CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.17% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.17%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.17%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


CPI Card Group  (NAS:PMTS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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CPI Card Group Business Description

CPI Card Group logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 522220 SIC : 6153
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10368 West Centennial Road, Littleton, CO, USA, 80127
CPI Card Group Inc is a payment technology company engaged in providing financial payment card solutions and services. It offers credit, debit and prepaid cards. The business segments of the group are Debit and Credit, which produces Financial Payment Cards and provides integrated card services to card-issuing banks primarily in the United States, and Prepaid Debit, which provides integrated card services to Prepaid Debit Card program managers primarily in the United States. It derives key revenue from the Debit and Credit segment.
Executives
Scheirman Scott director, officer: President & CEO THE WESTERN UNION COMPANY 12500 EAST BELFORD AVENUE ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Dubin Lane officer: SVP & GM of Pers., Ppd. & Iss. C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON IL 80127
Kilgore Sarah officer: Chief Legal & Compliance Off. C/O CPI CARD GROUP, INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Lowe John Daniel officer: CFO C/O CPI CARD GROUP 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY, SUITE 200 LITTLETON CO 80127
Dimaggio Guy officer: SVP and GM of Secure Card C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Frasier Loretta G officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Williams Sarah Elizabeth officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Sheinbaum Marc director 24 DEERFIELD ROAD CHAPPAQUA NY 10514
Peters Nicholas A director 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON CO 80127
Pearce Robert director 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON CO 80127
Pearce Douglas director C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Soranno Keating Valerie director C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY LITTLETON CO 80127
Jacoba Lisa officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD. LITTLETON CO 80127
Bohrer Jason officer: GM & SVP Secure Card C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC. 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD LITTLETON CO 80127
Tavares Silvio director 20 TIPTOE LANE BURLINGAME CA 94010

CPI Card Group Headlines

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