CPI Card Group (CPI Card Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Apr. 25, 2024)

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What is CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CPI Card Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.03

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

CPI Card Group (NAS:PMTS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

CPI Card Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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CPI Card Group (CPI Card Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » CPI Card Group Inc (NAS:PMTS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CPB1:Germany

Address

10368 West Centennial Road, Littleton, CO, USA, 80127

Website

https://www.cpicardgroup.com

CPI Card Group Inc is a payment technology company engaged in providing financial payment card solutions and services. It offers credit, debit and prepaid cards. The business segments of the group are Debit and Credit, which produces Financial Payment Cards and provides integrated card services to card-issuing banks in the United States, and Prepaid Debit, which provides integrated card services to Prepaid Debit Card program managers in the United States and Others. It derives key revenue from the Debit and Credit segment.

Executives

H Sanford Riley	director	P.O. BOX 4030, NH353, GOLDEN CO 80401
Jeffrey A. Hochstadt	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC., 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD, LITTLETON CO 80127
Margaret Elizabeth O'leary	officer: SVP, Prepaid Solutions	C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC., 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD, LITTLETON CO 80127
Thomas M Furey	director	839 W T STREET, WASHOUGAL WA 98671
Sonya Vollmer	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC., 10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD, LITTLETON CO 80127
Donna Renee Abbey	officer: Controller & Chief Acct. Off.	10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD, LITTLETON CO 80127
Keating Valerie Soranno	director	C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC., 10026 WEST SAN JUAN WAY, LITTLETON CO 80127
Nicholas A Peters	director	10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD., LITTLETON CO 80127
Robert Pearce	director	10368 WEST CENTENNIAL RD., LITTLETON CO 80127
Amintore Schenkel	officer: CFO	7001 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, DENVER CO 80237
Lauren Kay Baer	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	10368 WEST CENTENNIAL ROAD, LITTLETON CO 80127
Marc Sheinbaum	director	24 DEERFIELD ROAD, CHAPPAQUA NY 10514
Scott Scheirman	director, officer: President & CEO	THE WESTERN UNION COMPANY, 12500 EAST BELFORD AVENUE, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Kevin Patrick O'brien	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC., 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY, SUITE 200, LITTLETON CO 80127
Sarah Elizabeth Williams	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O CPI CARD GROUP INC., 10026 W. SAN JUAN WAY, LITTLETON CO 80127