HOG (Harley-Davidson) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.29 (As of Jul. 09, 2026) — 52% Below Median


HOG Harley-Davidson Inc HOG
80 GF Score
Price $25.36
GF Value $27.93
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Harley-Davidson HOG -2.05% 80 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29 as of Jul. 09, 2026, which is 52% below its 10-year median of 2.70. GuruFocus rates HOG with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $27.93 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,038 Vehicles & Parts companies, Harley-Davidson ranks better than 51.06% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-09), Harley-Davidson's current share price is $25.36. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $19.59. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 1.29.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

HOG' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 2.7   Max: 5.19
Current: 1.29

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 5.19. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 2.70.

HOG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked better than
51.06% of 1038 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.33 vs HOG: 1.29

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $27.223. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is $19.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson  (NYSE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.68 2.72 2.25 1.72 1.08

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.41 1.30 1.50 1.08 1.03

HOG vs LCII, PATK, THO: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


HOG
80GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc HOG
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=25.36/19.59
=1.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=27.223/330.2130*330.2130
=27.223

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 11.303 241.018 15.486
201609 11.271 241.428 15.416
201612 10.913 241.432 14.926
201703 11.350 243.801 15.373
201706 11.994 244.955 16.169
201709 11.033 246.819 14.761
201712 10.972 246.524 14.697
201803 11.890 249.554 15.733
201806 12.978 251.989 17.007
201809 13.222 252.439 17.296
201812 11.111 251.233 14.604
201903 11.210 254.202 14.562
201906 11.914 256.143 15.359
201909 11.444 256.759 14.718
201912 11.832 256.974 15.204
202003 11.055 258.115 14.143
202006 10.608 257.797 13.588
202009 11.557 260.280 14.662
202012 11.265 260.474 14.281
202103 12.883 264.877 16.061
202106 14.208 271.696 17.268
202109 15.176 274.310 18.269
202112 16.626 278.802 19.692
202203 16.235 287.504 18.647
202206 17.048 296.311 18.999
202209 18.372 296.808 20.440
202212 19.906 296.797 22.147
202303 21.099 301.836 23.083
202306 21.747 305.109 23.536
202309 23.602 307.789 25.322
202312 23.863 306.746 25.689
202403 24.353 312.332 25.747
202406 26.119 314.175 27.452
202409 26.949 315.301 28.224
202412 25.475 315.605 26.654
202503 25.487 319.799 26.317
202506 26.565 322.561 27.195
202509 28.609 324.800 29.086
202512 28.127 324.054 28.662
202603 27.223 330.213 27.223

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 mean?
Harley-Davidson (HOG) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 as of Jul. 09, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. This is 52% below median its historical median of 2.70. Over the past decade, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #508 out of 1038 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 48.9%.
Is Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 is 52% below median its 10-year median of 2.70. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.93 to a high of 5.19. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.29 is 3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #508 out of 1038 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to LCII and PATK?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #508 out of 1038 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This puts Harley-Davidson in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.29 is 3% below this benchmark. Historically, Harley-Davidson's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.70 vs. the industry median of 1.33, Harley-Davidson has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Vehicles & Parts companies is 1.33, based on 1,038 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 is 3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29, which is 52% below median its own 10-year median of 2.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson (HOG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $27.93, compared to a current price of $25.36 — trading 9.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29, which is 52% below median its 10-year median of 2.70 and 3% below the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 1.33. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (HOG), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29 as of Jul. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $25.36 is trading 9.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $27.93. GuruFocus considers Harley-Davidson to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HOG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.29 (52% below median its 10-year median of 2.70)
  • GF Value™: $27.93 vs. price of $25.36 (9.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 3% below the Vehicles & Parts median (#508 of 1038)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HOG

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$25.36
Price
$27.93
GF Value