HOG (Harley-Davidson) E10: $3.73 (As of Mar. 2026)


HOG Harley-Davidson Inc HOG
79 GF Score
Price $25.55
GF Value $28.02
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Harley-Davidson E10?

Harley-Davidson HOG -0.12% 79 E10 is $3.73 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates HOG with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.02 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.220. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $3.73 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Harley-Davidson's average E10 Growth Rate was -5.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 4.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 4.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Harley-Davidson was 26.30% per year. The lowest was -1.60% per year. And the median was 6.70% per year.

As of today (2026-06-24), Harley-Davidson's current stock price is $25.55. Harley-Davidson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.73. Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 6.85.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 22.00. The lowest was 4.59. And the median was 10.90.


Harley-Davidson  (NYSE:HOG) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Harley-Davidson's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=25.55/3.73
=6.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 22.00. The lowest was 4.59. And the median was 10.90.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Harley-Davidson E10 Related Terms


Harley-Davidson E10 Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson E10 Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.46 3.83 4.02 3.95 3.83

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.94 3.87 4.11 3.83 3.73

HOG vs LCII, PATK, PII: E10 Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Shiller PE Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


HOG
79GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc HOG
E10 is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harley-Davidson E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.22/330.2130*330.2130
=0.220

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201606 1.550 241.018 2.124
201609 0.640 241.428 0.875
201612 0.270 241.432 0.369
201703 1.050 243.801 1.422
201706 1.480 244.955 1.995
201709 0.400 246.819 0.535
201712 0.050 246.524 0.067
201803 1.030 249.554 1.363
201806 1.450 251.989 1.900
201809 0.680 252.439 0.890
201812 0.003 251.233 0.004
201903 0.800 254.202 1.039
201906 1.230 256.143 1.586
201909 0.550 256.759 0.707
201912 0.090 256.974 0.116
202003 0.450 258.115 0.576
202006 -0.600 257.797 -0.769
202009 0.780 260.280 0.990
202012 -0.630 260.474 -0.799
202103 1.680 264.877 2.094
202106 1.330 271.696 1.616
202109 1.050 274.310 1.264
202112 0.140 278.802 0.166
202203 1.450 287.504 1.665
202206 1.460 296.311 1.627
202209 1.780 296.808 1.980
202212 0.280 296.797 0.312
202303 2.040 301.836 2.232
202306 1.220 305.109 1.320
202309 1.380 307.789 1.481
202312 0.180 306.746 0.194
202403 1.720 312.332 1.818
202406 1.630 314.175 1.713
202409 0.910 315.301 0.953
202412 -0.930 315.605 -0.973
202503 1.070 319.799 1.105
202506 0.880 322.561 0.901
202509 3.100 324.800 3.152
202512 -2.440 324.054 -2.486
202603 0.220 330.213 0.220

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about E10 →
What does a E10 of $3.73 mean?
Harley-Davidson (HOG) has a E10 of $3.73 as of Mar. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors.
Is Harley-Davidson's E10 too high?
Harley-Davidson's current E10 is $3.73. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's E10 compare to LCII and PATK?
Harley-Davidson's E10 of $3.73 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good E10 depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. Harley-Davidson's current E10 is $3.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson (HOG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.02, compared to a current price of $25.55 — trading 8.8% below its estimated fair value. The current E10 is $3.73. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (HOG), the current E10 is $3.73 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $25.55 is trading 8.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $28.02. GuruFocus considers Harley-Davidson to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HOG:

  • E10: $3.73
  • GF Value™: $28.02 vs. price of $25.55 (8.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HOG

E10 is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$25.55
Price
$28.02
GF Value